Ruto UDA field candidates in all Nyanza seats

[RV Pundit]

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Huge step in reclaiming the region from Odingaism
And also detecting any rigging by Raila in his stronghold.

Ruto is likely to score 5 percent - compared to 1 percent - that Uhuru did in Luo Nyanza.

https://www.standardmedia.co.ke/nyanza/article/2001447807/dp-ruto-plans-to-break-into-raila-turf-as-uda-fields-aspirants-in-region

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

Huge step in reclaiming the region from Odingaism
And also detecting any rigging by Raila in his stronghold.

Ruto is likely to score 5 percent - compared to 1 percent - that Uhuru did in Luo Nyanza.

https://www.standardmedia.co.ke/nyanza/article/2001447807/dp-ruto-plans-to-break-into-raila-turf-as-uda-fields-aspirants-in-region

I think he will do 2-5% on the periphery of Nyanza but in Luo Nyanza, he will be lucky to get 0.5% Luos are do or die for Raila!

[RV Pundit]

5% in typical polling station is to get 25 votes out 500;  Most Luos dont hate Ruto the way they hated Kibaki or Uhuru; That is why UDA are able to operate; Ruto is able to visit and address Luos; Most Luos are still grateful for 2007 and know Ruto did his best to make Raila PM; Otherwise in other years those supporting enemy would have long been exiled - with threats of their houses being burnt and all that. The fact that someone can campaign for UDA in Luo Nyanza is big step.

So if Uhuru/kibaki use to do 1-2% - I expect Ruto to double that to 2-5%. It will be more like Moi used to do - about 5 percent.

I think he will do 2-5% on the periphery of Nyanza but in Luo Nyanza, he will be lucky to get 0.5% Luos are do or die for Raila!

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

5% in typical polling station is to get 25 votes out 500;  Most Luos dont hate Ruto the way they hated Kibaki or Uhuru; That is why UDA are able to operate; Ruto is able to visit and address Luos; Most Luos are still grateful for 2007 and know Ruto did his best to make Raila PM; Otherwise in other years those supporting enemy would have long been exiled - with threats of their houses being burnt and all that. The fact that someone can campaign for UDA in Luo Nyanza is big step.

So if Uhuru/kibaki use to do 1-2% - I expect Ruto to double that to 2-5%. It will be more like Moi used to do - about 5 percent.

I think he will do 2-5% on the periphery of Nyanza but in Luo Nyanza, he will be lucky to get 0.5% Luos are do or die for Raila!

Okay,maybe I'am  basing my assumptions on the few Luos I know here in the US. They are 100% anti-Ruto and think Uhuru is the greatest thing since the sliced bread for supporting Raila over Ruto. And yes, confusing; the same people were wishing Uhuru bad things before the handshake!

[RV Pundit]

They see Ruto more as a rival - not an enemy. Inwardly they admire Ruto. They wish Raila was as good as Ruto. Their hatred for Ruto is just the feeling that angewachia Raila - for them he is still young.

Anyway 95 percent is still almost everyone. I feel Ruto will do way better than Uhuru or Kibaki did...even if it's an extra 5 votes in every polling station.

Even in Kalenjin - it hard to meet people supporting Raila - but in every village - there are two or three - in polling station they amount to 10-20 votes.

Okay,maybe I'am  basing my assumptions on the few Luos I know here in the US. They are 100% anti-Ruto and think Uhuru is the greatest thing since the sliced bread for supporting Raila over Ruto. And yes, confusing; the same people were wishing Uhuru bad things before the handshake!