If I wanted to ask GEMA politics - I would ask my wife. Rvhh would also ask his wife - as both of us married GEMA.
Martha is travelling with long convoy with bus/matatus of supporters.
They hitch onto bus stops/middle of city
They get drown by in promptu heckling.
They are not organizing rallies for someone to prepare to counter with hecklers
They arrive randomly in town - go to the bus stops and try to gather people - where often it more of their own cars and travelling supporters...last rally they address the travelling cheering squad.
And nobody is saying Ruto will get 100 percent of GEMA - I have given Raila generous 30 percent in Kiambu - that includes you. The way things are going - with Uhuru not even showing up - I might have to revise the figures down. This martha thing I dont see her lasting a week more - she was like weka ngoma ya azimio hapo embu as she resigned to the heckling.
It's about being trained to be objective...mzungu can come and in two days can summarize our politics...because they are trained to follow evidence, to be objective and not get swayed by idiots like you.
These people were ferried there by matatus to show Uhuru that his birthplace is UDA.Ruto gave targets to each contestant to bring a certain number of people in that rally and they did a good job.
Martha doesn't ferry people to her rallies.Nowadays there is a alot of money.All UDA contestants are financially mobilized by UDA Headquarters to heckle and disrupt Karua rallies but it's not working...Karua and munya ni kichwa ngumu na wazimu you can't shake them.
My blood is 100% GEMA.Like Karua I am a kikuyu supremacist same way you are a kalenjin supremacist but because you choose to be kichwa ngumu...wait for August 9.
1) You live in Mavoko.Rvhh wife live in California.How can these people know what is happening in the ground?I live in Gatundu.Deep down in Kikuyu land where I interact with Kikuyu from Rift valley and Thika,Sometimes I travel to Nyeri and Meru.I use matatu two three times a week.How can I be wrong?Even Mizani polls which you post here shows UDA candidates loosing in Nyandarua and Kirinyaga,What else do you need to be told?Raila is at 60% GEMA.I can put $1000 on it.
2) The Gatundu rally happened just few yards from our home.While going to Nairobi that morning,I met 10s of buses going there.I even didn't know Ruto was coming here.I logged online found there is a rally in Gatundu.Serious mobilisation.Residents didn't attend.Just paid people.If you have a good network as you claim,Go ask saccos like lopha nazigi zam zam sh45.No feelings PURE TRUTH HERE.
3) Kikuyus are very MILD PEOPLE AND SLOW TO ANGER.If you have lived long enough with kikuyu.They hate confrontation.They didn't even protest against Moi after 1992 and 1997 elections like Kalenjins and Luos in 2007 2013 and 2017 respectively.The Karua heckling is sponsored by top UDA leadership.The more they do it the more GEMA hates anything Ruto.The more votes he looses.I am on nobody payroll Am calling it as it is.
Right now GEMA are being reminded that Gachagua was D.O Molo in 1992.That means Molo GEMA vote is gone.In limuru they are told how he beat up people in Limuru.How he beat George Nyanja,That means Limuru vote is gone.GEMA are being reminded how Martha Karua fought for them in 2008 and they start crying remembering the atrocities they went through.Emotions flare high.KARUA WINS KARUA WINS.
The biggest political mistake Ruto made is choosing Rigathi People know him as a thief in GEMA.They called him a thief yesterday infront of Ruto yesterday in Nyandarua.By Raila nominating Karua,That sealed Gachagua fate.
If Gachagua is man enough,Let him hold his own rally like Karua.The day Gachagua will try to bribe old kikuyu men to try annoint him as GEMA leader,Atahamia sugoi because we will protest to his door step.