I am not responsible for Kiunjuri allowing a 1st term Mp to overtake him.
I do prediction. I also dish free political advice. Few listen to them...yet I have 30yrs pedigree knowledge of kenya siasa but countless hours of reading of kenya siasa since 1960s.
Then I also do blow per blow - as I watch the political game evolve - as it' very dynamic.
At some point Muturi looked good...but of course end of day...Kikuyus were going to be the top dogs.
My reading of Gachagua and Alice Wahome seizing the GEMA anger was spot on
And that put them in good stead for DPORK
The rest are details.
As for UDA - expect Ruto to clean up - the Kenya Kwanza. That is next agenda if you heard him.
1st was to clean up UDA.
Western is done deal - power sharing pale is finished.
Now we have few problems in Kiambu, Mombasa, Kilifi, Kwale - that need clean up.
Expect Moses Kuria to stepdown and focus on helping Ndii sell 1 man 1 shiling propaganda.
Maybe Kabogo will go to the wire.
Yes you sang Kiunjuri for 5 years. But we knew this was wrong ab initio - especially your praise of his imaginary merits - and we were soon vindicated. Kunjuri big flop was testament to my argument that he is an incoherent fool.
Next you were onto Gachagua. But as recent as yesterday you were plastering news of Kindiki and Muturi as the next DPORK. So puff your chest but sioni unajigamba nini.
Of note here, is that the Gema backing Ruto are fools. In fact nationally the entire KK deal is a big joke.
Look at Kuria now fighting for governor against UDA in Kiambu. What exactly is the deal there? What does he get for fighting Uhuru so hard?
Kiunjuri is fighting for MP against UDA in Nanyuki
JB Muturi DP does not even get an MCA in Mbeere
Mutua will be "allowed" to field candidates in Machakos against UDA
Kingi PAA is fighting in Kilifi against UDA even for MCA
No need to mention Mdvd who has an MOU - a paper - while UDA has marooned him in Vihiga - where everyone is already Azimio. How would that WINDBAG get anything from Ruto let alone cohabit with Farouks, Sudis, Gachaguas?? Mdvd gets the trophy for dumbness unopposed.
Compare to Azimio: you are predicting yourself ODM 40 MPs. Jubilee gets Gema. Wiper Kamba. UDM/Upya get NEP. Before 3-leg deal.. very enforceable.
The correct thing to do for Mdvd and Gema leaders would have been to demand full zoning of MPs - which gives them bargaining power. There should be no UDA in kakamega or Kiambu. Now I think only Waiguru, Malala and Sakaja got good deals - and they might not even make it. Kiunjuri's failure was not strategy but incompetent execution.
KK aka Kenya Kwisha ni utapeli mtupu.