Author Topic: Done Survey -70 % Of Raila Supporters Peg Their Hopes on Rigging  (Read 1577 times)

Offline Nowayhaha

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Seems losing 4 times since 2007 has taken toll on them pschologically. They have retired to the idea of stealing is the only solution. However with Maina Kiai ruling this strategy is bound to fail.

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Done Survey -70 % Of Raila Supporters Peg Their Hopes on Rigging
« Reply #1 on: May 04, 2022, 06:41:23 PM »
Sioni wakifika august.
They are already throwing in the towel.
Hapana mchezo when you get heckled all over.

As for rigging - Ruto is competing with 50% - so rigging is possible.
The problem if they go for a repeat - there is no magic - all cards are already played.

Anyway let them resolve first running mate conundrum - Kalonzo question remain - he is not campaigning, he is fielding candidates against Azimio and one leg definitely out.

Ruto should work on the rigging margin - making sure beat the system by overwhelming margin.

Rigging has become very very hard to pull
1) Biometrics - generally more than 95% of voters are identified by biometric - so not possible to stuff ballots.
2) Technology - results are transmitted electronically - people have smart phones - apart from remote areas - there is just too many eyes.
3) Outside Luo Nyanza - Azimio doesnt have any other stronghold - where UDA/KK agents wont be able to operate with confidence.
4) Maina Kia rulling - has made rigging so granular it only useful if you're rigging to get the +1 vote like Jubilee probably did. It doesnt help if you're candidate is horribly behind. Max per polling station is btw 500-700. You have to rig thousands of polling stations and leave evidence from here to Timbuktu.
5) Supreme court - will annual a brazenly rigged election
6) PEV - ICC - many deaths - nobody wants a repeat of 2007. The Kenyattas cannot risk ICC ( they were lucky last time because victims funds could have drained their wealth) - and risk it for Raila.
7) Ruto has very serious counter-intelligence and probably has half the gov working for him. Whatever they plan - Ruto knows it - therefore any rigging plans will be revealed - and that will end of it. Uhuru gov is leaking because most in gov do not want the handshake.
8) Uhuru is lameduck - he aint running for his own election - therefore nobody will listen to him - not even in Ichwaeri can he order chiefs. The Matiangis and Kibicho sound is gone because even they themselves knows Raila will fire them anyway. I am waiting to see him go round Mt kenya and get heckled - he will blow a casket :)

9) Ruto is an organizational wizard that pulled mini-iebc election in 35 counties - and therefore you can expect his protect the vote will be very thorough. Raila is feckless, poor manager and coordinator. Ruto is now building a grassroot network using the UDA losers who will in turn protect the vote.
10) Ruto has Chirchir - who knows how to design anti-rigging election monitering systems - parrallel tallying.
11) In 2007 -we only had Mashada and RCB - now there is social media that beat MASS media ten nil and where people will post results and stuff very quickly. Anything that happens that is fishy you can be sure people will post videos or images about it. Any rigging will be stopped.

In short - Ruto just need to focus on NEP - Duale is not good enough. Turkana he has Nanok - but Marsabit, Isiolo, Mandera, Wajir and Garissa - he needs to focus there - because Azimio run the roost there - and that is where all the monkey games will be executed.

Offline RV Heavy Hitter!

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Re: Done Survey -70 % Of Raila Supporters Peg Their Hopes on Rigging
« Reply #2 on: May 04, 2022, 09:57:55 PM »
Rigging? I think it is the other way round. UDA is backed by incredible IEBC folks. The only folks capable of rigging is UDA, not Uhuru or azimio that is why President is constantly mad as hell. DP is the lethal system....
The future belongs to those who have a quarter of the character and integrity of RV Heavy Hitter!

Offline GeeMail

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Re: Done Survey -70 % Of Raila Supporters Peg Their Hopes on Rigging
« Reply #3 on: May 04, 2022, 10:08:01 PM »
From sleepwalking to state house to rigging claim. What happened? Raila not that desperate. He can live in Bondo without tantrums. Can you say that about bandia high priest?
Celebratory violence: 2017 crime invented to justify killings to prevent Raila from becoming PORK. http://www.nipate.com/download/file.php?id=4244

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Done Survey -70 % Of Raila Supporters Peg Their Hopes on Rigging
« Reply #4 on: May 04, 2022, 10:22:57 PM »
Nah - he is very desperate - since 1942 - for him - and since 1950s for his father. People are not desperate cannot run for 5 times.
From sleepwalking to state house to rigging claim. What happened? Raila not that desperate. He can live in Bondo without tantrums. Can you say that about bandia high priest?

Offline Nowayhaha

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Re: Done Survey -70 % Of Raila Supporters Peg Their Hopes on Rigging
« Reply #5 on: May 05, 2022, 08:10:07 PM »
Seems the only way to keep Pro Raila voters rejuvinated is campaign on the platform they will rig elections.

Well if they try to do so shauri yao.

https://mobile.twitter.com/geraldbitok/status/1522105175435091969

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Done Survey -70 % Of Raila Supporters Peg Their Hopes on Rigging
« Reply #6 on: May 05, 2022, 08:38:02 PM »
Yes they are promising magic - so people dont complete abandon them. It happened in 2002. People thought Moi would use some magic to eventually beat Kibaki.
Seems the only way to keep Pro Raila voters rejuvinated is campaign on the platform they will rig elections.

Well if they try to do so shauri yao.

https://mobile.twitter.com/geraldbitok/status/1522105175435091969

Offline Njuri Ncheke

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Re: Done Survey -70 % Of Raila Supporters Peg Their Hopes on Rigging
« Reply #7 on: May 10, 2022, 09:06:04 PM »
Especially Luos they have put all their hopes on the so called deep state machinery,this is what have been saying,Kenyattas have managed to dupe luos into believing that elections can't be won without those dynasty wazees. But this will be proven otherwise outcome will be devastating just like Ndindi says,Matiangi and the boy Mucheru will be dealt with dearly,Uhuru lacks the core rigging infrastructure that a sitting president has,he is seriously weakened to be able to rig 1st law is your home base has to be on your side and solid ,one thing he lacks,its futile by June we will be dealing with those wannabes in government one by one by kura time most will be in UK Or USA.

Online gout

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Re: Done Survey -70 % Of Raila Supporters Peg Their Hopes on Rigging
« Reply #8 on: May 11, 2022, 02:23:58 AM »
It is getting very contradicting. Mara okuyu will not vote. Voter apathy.

Next raira will get 60%  of okuyu silent majority. Eih omera.
Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one ~ Thomas Paine