Sakaja is going to carry this - Statehouse have yet to realize when it come to voting - people dont take their consideration.
I guess they will try to sell him to GEMA underclass - then wapate they demolished their houses, destroyed their business, harrased their hawkers.
If they get half GEMA - that equal to Luhyas who will vote 100% in hasira for Sakaja (at least he his half luhya and identify as one). Next kambas and Luos. Then 25 percent of other kenyans who will overwhelming vote Sakaja (20% versu 5 percent for Ngatia).
So Sakaja start with Others at 20% plus Luhyas at 15% - he need to pick a Kamba or Kikuyu for Deputy Governor to get 15%. I would go for Kikuyu DPORK if there is one who is strong and consolidate UDA votes in there...if not Kambas can do the job. Igathe likely to pick Kamba or Luhya - but you never know - Raila might insist on a random Luo.
Raila also will lose Luhya votes in Nairobi.