Not 140 days please
2022 Elections: 114 d, 16 hrs, 37 mins to go
We cannot wait to see the back of Uhuru.
I think for Raila - he is thinking he pick Kalonzo - all it does is take him to same 43 percent - then he struggle in GEMA - as Ruto will pick from there and sweep the board.
He pick Mt kenya - that is curve ball - and hopefully still retain half kambas - he get some headway in GEMA - manages to come to rigging margin distance - for Uhuru to do something.
So I think he likely to go for the broke. Pick GEMA. Huge gamble because he will immediately lose a million Kamba votes to Ruto - and GEMA may totally refuse (like they have done so far) to board.
So the guy can go home in huge humiliating defeat or pull a shocker - if somehow GEMA can turn around and Uhuru can rig brazenly like Kibaki did in 2007 - leading to another 2007 meltdown.
All factors considered - he aint going to play safe - he is going to make one last gamble this time with GEMA - and Kalonzo should already read the signs of times.
If it doesnt work out - Ruto will win by 60 percent - and win absolute majority in parliament - and run kenya like Museveni or Kagame - with absolute power.
Politicking in Kenya will probably end with Ruto finally settling this political dueling that has been inconclusive for sometime...there will be no one who can take on Ruto....so siasa will end...we will start to discuss other matters.
Kalonzo can't be Raila's deputy..even the mere thought of entertaining such a move is sickening.The deputy must be from GEMA to salvage votes otherwise Raila will die of old age in opposition while mutua will forcefully out kalonzo as the defacto wiper leader.
I doubt Raila can get 1 million guaranteed votes from the mountain as he would from ukambani if he picks Kalonzo. Raila is tossed in his fifth attempt. Why? With every bout, a contender tends to improve in the three-strike rule. After the third attempt, one can easily become a spent force with limited room for improvement. I strongly believe Raila was strongest in 2007 and will be less strong in 2022. A first-time contender, especially a tactical strategist like Ruto, is more likely to outshine him! Anyway, we are about 140 days to find out!