What was UDA nomination turnout in GEMA?

[Githunguri]

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1) Versus Jubilee 2017 and TNA 2012 nomination turnout?

2) Versus UDA nomination turnout in Rift Valley and other non kalenjin regions like Coast.

Just curious.

[RV Pundit]

We are also curious

[Githunguri]

We are also curious

Mockery won't help.

The turnout is less than 40% in many GEMA areas which means there will be low GEMA turnout during the general election and a divided vote.

All this shows UDA is overrated in GEMA.A pure kalenjin enterprise.

Counted days are very few,The election is near.

[RV Pundit]

I am seriously curious. Someone in facebook has promised to do this. Raila winning is not possible...William Ruto ni MOTO KUSHIDA PASI...mutalia sana...the gap will not be close - you're taking a giant with bare hands.

The voter's turn-out during the Jubilee Party's nominations in 2017 was 42% in the 10 counties of Mt. Kenya combined.
That is, of the 5.3M registered voters in the region then, 2.2M participated in the Nominations.
It was highest in Murang'a County at 55% and lowest in Embu County at 33%.
Getting a Jubilee Party Ticket then was as good as Winning the General Election, and actually the G. Election of August saw Jubilee pull a 90% winning rate in the Region across all the elective seats.
Will update the same data with UDAs nomination results and compare the rate.
Keep here for accurate figure 😁

Mockery won't help.

The turnout is less than 40% in many GEMA areas which means there will be low GEMA turnout during the general election and a divided vote.

All this shows UDA is overrated in GEMA.A pure kalenjin enterprise.

Counted days are very few,The election is near.

[RV Pundit]

This was 2017 Jubilee nomination turnout

[RV Pundit]

Laikipia East sioni mbaya
LAIKIPIA East final results:
1. Mohammed Amin Deddy - 12,743
2. Cate Waruguru - 5,595
3. Kimaru Mutahi - 2,701

[GeeMail]

What are absolute numbers in Laikipia East?

Ward   Registered Voters   Local authority
Sirma   3,609   Laikipia County
Tigithi   5,289   Laikipia County
Umande   5,948   Laikipia County
Total   62,253   

UDA nominations voters 20k. Voter apathy?

[Githunguri]

1)  I've pointed out many times,The Kiambaa muguga and Juja by-election showed a Jubilee UDA tie of 50:50.The margins were very small.

2) Now the second issue is that,If GEMA are 90% UDA and having a UDA ticket is as sure as winning the General election,Why the low turnout in many constituencies across Central?

It just goes on to show UDA is overatee in GEMA and on August 9,2022.Ruto will shed tears.

Just take a look of how voters turned out in Central Vs Rv,

Not promising.

[RV Pundit]

Kiamwangi graduate - and his pesa nane conclusion.  Here is something more intelligent.

In the figure below, I have presented the turn-out rates for selected constituencies where nomination results have been tallied.
My analysis focuses on UDA and ODM, the two parties which have conducted nominations in various counties.
I have opted for the constituency as the unit of analysis and randomly selected 23 constituencies from 4 regions.
As seen in the figure below, the turn-out has been generally low across the sampled constituencies apart from the Kalenjin Rift where the turn-out in a number of constituencies has hit the 50% mark
In Mt. Kenya Region, the average turn-out rate for the 11 constituencies is estimated as 24% (approximately 216,000 votes from a total of 907,000).
This is significantly lower than the 2017 Jubilee Nomination results which recorded an average turn-out rate of 42%, hence the UDA nominations have recorded an 18 percentage point drop
In the Lake Region, I sampled 5 constituencies and the average turn-out rate was 11% (or approximately 71,500 votes from a total of 502,000)
Again, this is significantly lower than the average turn-out in the region of 51% recorded during the 2017 ODM Nominations, and this is a 40 percentage-points drop!
The Kalenjin Rift has so far recorded the highest turn-out rate in the nomination, with the average for 7 the sampled constituencies estimated as 48% (or about 207,000 votes from 433,000)
Compared with 2017, the region has recorded a 5 percentage-points drop which is significantly low compared with the other regions included in this analysis.
I also checked on one constituency in the Coast Region and I managed to get data for ODM Nominations in Msambweni constituency where the total turn-out was slightly about 3,000 from 79,777 registered voters returning a turn-out rate of only 4% lower than the estimate for 2017
In summary, the turn-out has been low across the regions compared with the 2017 party nominations regardless of the party.

1)  I've pointed out many times,The Kiambaa muguga and Juja by-election showed a Jubilee UDA tie of 50:50.The margins were very small.

2) Now the second issue is that,If GEMA are 90% UDA and having a UDA ticket is as sure as winning the General election,Why the low turnout in many constituencies across Central?

It just goes on to show UDA is overatee in GEMA and on August 9,2022.Ruto will shed tears.

Just take a look of how voters turned out in Central Vs Rv,

Not promising.

[Githunguri]

Kiamwangi graduate - and his pesa nane conclusion.  Here is something more intelligent.

In the figure below, I have presented the turn-out rates for selected constituencies where nomination results have been tallied.
My analysis focuses on UDA and ODM, the two parties which have conducted nominations in various counties.
I have opted for the constituency as the unit of analysis and randomly selected 23 constituencies from 4 regions.
As seen in the figure below, the turn-out has been generally low across the sampled constituencies apart from the Kalenjin Rift where the turn-out in a number of constituencies has hit the 50% mark
In Mt. Kenya Region, the average turn-out rate for the 11 constituencies is estimated as 24% (approximately 216,000 votes from a total of 907,000).
This is significantly lower than the 2017 Jubilee Nomination results which recorded an average turn-out rate of 42%, hence the UDA nominations have recorded an 18 percentage point drop
In the Lake Region, I sampled 5 constituencies and the average turn-out rate was 11% (or approximately 71,500 votes from a total of 502,000)
Again, this is significantly lower than the average turn-out in the region of 51% recorded during the 2017 ODM Nominations, and this is a 40 percentage-points drop!
The Kalenjin Rift has so far recorded the highest turn-out rate in the nomination, with the average for 7 the sampled constituencies estimated as 48% (or about 207,000 votes from 433,000)
Compared with 2017, the region has recorded a 5 percentage-points drop which is significantly low compared with the other regions included in this analysis.
I also checked on one constituency in the Coast Region and I managed to get data for ODM Nominations in Msambweni constituency where the total turn-out was slightly about 3,000 from 79,777 registered voters returning a turn-out rate of only 4% lower than the estimate for 2017
In summary, the turn-out has been low across the regions compared with the 2017 party nominations regardless of the party.

1)  I've pointed out many times,The Kiambaa muguga and Juja by-election showed a Jubilee UDA tie of 50:50.The margins were very small.

2) Now the second issue is that,If GEMA are 90% UDA and having a UDA ticket is as sure as winning the General election,Why the low turnout in many constituencies across Central?

It just goes on to show UDA is overatee in GEMA and on August 9,2022.Ruto will shed tears.

Just take a look of how voters turned out in Central Vs Rv,

Not promising.

Yes am kiamwangi graduate pesa name,

What have you done with your UON degree?Did you invent covid vaccine?Did you start facebook or twitter with your IT degree or got elected MCA?Just a mere average creature.If you are smart a you profess quit these streets and go do something globally visible.

Back to main point,The issue here is GEMA not other regions.stick to that pr control your fingers.

[Nowayhaha]

RV you need to stop misleading people. Githunguri is a Jaduong 100% .

Kiamwangi graduate - and his pesa nane conclusion.  Here is something more intelligent.

In the figure below, I have presented the turn-out rates for selected constituencies where nomination results have been tallied.
My analysis focuses on UDA and ODM, the two parties which have conducted nominations in various counties.
I have opted for the constituency as the unit of analysis and randomly selected 23 constituencies from 4 regions.
As seen in the figure below, the turn-out has been generally low across the sampled constituencies apart from the Kalenjin Rift where the turn-out in a number of constituencies has hit the 50% mark
In Mt. Kenya Region, the average turn-out rate for the 11 constituencies is estimated as 24% (approximately 216,000 votes from a total of 907,000).
This is significantly lower than the 2017 Jubilee Nomination results which recorded an average turn-out rate of 42%, hence the UDA nominations have recorded an 18 percentage point drop
In the Lake Region, I sampled 5 constituencies and the average turn-out rate was 11% (or approximately 71,500 votes from a total of 502,000)
Again, this is significantly lower than the average turn-out in the region of 51% recorded during the 2017 ODM Nominations, and this is a 40 percentage-points drop!
The Kalenjin Rift has so far recorded the highest turn-out rate in the nomination, with the average for 7 the sampled constituencies estimated as 48% (or about 207,000 votes from 433,000)
Compared with 2017, the region has recorded a 5 percentage-points drop which is significantly low compared with the other regions included in this analysis.
I also checked on one constituency in the Coast Region and I managed to get data for ODM Nominations in Msambweni constituency where the total turn-out was slightly about 3,000 from 79,777 registered voters returning a turn-out rate of only 4% lower than the estimate for 2017
In summary, the turn-out has been low across the regions compared with the 2017 party nominations regardless of the party.

1)  I've pointed out many times,The Kiambaa muguga and Juja by-election showed a Jubilee UDA tie of 50:50.The margins were very small.

2) Now the second issue is that,If GEMA are 90% UDA and having a UDA ticket is as sure as winning the General election,Why the low turnout in many constituencies across Central?

It just goes on to show UDA is overatee in GEMA and on August 9,2022.Ruto will shed tears.

Just take a look of how voters turned out in Central Vs Rv,

Not promising.

[RV Pundit]

Possibly - I have my doubts.

RV you need to stop misleading people. Githunguri is a Jaduong 100% .

[Nowayhaha]

Great analysis. Just goes to show you the confidence Raila supporters have in RAO winning the Presidency.
What has made this elections not as competitive as 2017 is
1. 2017 was about incumbency. Same as 2007 elecrion where the throne has to be protected at all costs.
2. The Handshake made the voters get disoriented. GEMA vs Anti GEMA and Pro Raila vs Anti Raila . Where as the latter has remained the former is not at play .The emotions have not rissen up like in 2007 and 2017.
3. Everybody and their pets know Ruto is the 5th President just like in 1997 with Moi . Lack of ethusiasm especially in places where they oppose Ruto like Nyanza .

As usual ODMers like the proverbal monkey haoni Kundule.

Kiamwangi graduate - and his pesa nane conclusion.  Here is something more intelligent.

In the figure below, I have presented the turn-out rates for selected constituencies where nomination results have been tallied.
My analysis focuses on UDA and ODM, the two parties which have conducted nominations in various counties.
I have opted for the constituency as the unit of analysis and randomly selected 23 constituencies from 4 regions.
As seen in the figure below, the turn-out has been generally low across the sampled constituencies apart from the Kalenjin Rift where the turn-out in a number of constituencies has hit the 50% mark
In Mt. Kenya Region, the average turn-out rate for the 11 constituencies is estimated as 24% (approximately 216,000 votes from a total of 907,000).
This is significantly lower than the 2017 Jubilee Nomination results which recorded an average turn-out rate of 42%, hence the UDA nominations have recorded an 18 percentage point drop
In the Lake Region, I sampled 5 constituencies and the average turn-out rate was 11% (or approximately 71,500 votes from a total of 502,000)
Again, this is significantly lower than the average turn-out in the region of 51% recorded during the 2017 ODM Nominations, and this is a 40 percentage-points drop!
The Kalenjin Rift has so far recorded the highest turn-out rate in the nomination, with the average for 7 the sampled constituencies estimated as 48% (or about 207,000 votes from 433,000)
Compared with 2017, the region has recorded a 5 percentage-points drop which is significantly low compared with the other regions included in this analysis.
I also checked on one constituency in the Coast Region and I managed to get data for ODM Nominations in Msambweni constituency where the total turn-out was slightly about 3,000 from 79,777 registered voters returning a turn-out rate of only 4% lower than the estimate for 2017
In summary, the turn-out has been low across the regions compared with the 2017 party nominations regardless of the party.

1)  I've pointed out many times,The Kiambaa muguga and Juja by-election showed a Jubilee UDA tie of 50:50.The margins were very small.

2) Now the second issue is that,If GEMA are 90% UDA and having a UDA ticket is as sure as winning the General election,Why the low turnout in many constituencies across Central?

It just goes on to show UDA is overatee in GEMA and on August 9,2022.Ruto will shed tears.

Just take a look of how voters turned out in Central Vs Rv,

Not promising.

[Nowayhaha]

Take it from me. Just that dont want to expose him further(Right of Privacy) Just know he is a Jaduong . Thats enough.

Possibly - I have my doubts.

RV you need to stop misleading people. Githunguri is a Jaduong 100% .

[RV Pundit]

Agree.

The handshake I had say makes voters feel betrayed - takes the fun or war out of it  - it makes a mockery of democracy - people desires to reward winners and punish losers - they want to see blood - they want war - they want to punish those they hate - but when you have two camps handshaking or prospect of it happening - many feel it useless.

Then for GEMA - they have no candidate - and Uhuru has soften the hatred on Jakom. Jakom has also soften his anti-kikuyu propaganda.

Definitely we shall see drop in turnout - although the other six positions are worthy voting for - especially for rural voters - for urban voters - it normally PORK that people vote for - Nairobi or Mombasa nobody outside slums care about their MCA or MPs.

But if economy continues to tank - expect to see people coming to register a protest vote against Uhuru and his project.

This fuel shortage - milk and whole of it - has made folks really angry and hungry.

Great analysis. Just goes to show you the confidence Raila supporters have in RAO winning the Presidency.
What has made this elections not as competitive as 2017 is
1. 2017 was about incumbency. Same as 2007 elecrion where the throne has to be protected at all costs.
2. The Handshake made the voters get disoriented. GEMA vs Anti GEMA and Pro Raila vs Anti Raila . Where as the latter has remained the former is not at play .The emotions have not rissen up like in 2007 and 2017.
3. Everybody and their pets know Ruto is the 5th President just like in 1997 with Moi . Lack of ethusiasm especially in places where they oppose Ruto like Nyanza .

As usual ODMers like the proverbal monkey haoni Kundule.

Kiamwangi graduate - and his pesa nane conclusion.  Here is something more intelligent.

In the figure below, I have presented the turn-out rates for selected constituencies where nomination results have been tallied.
My analysis focuses on UDA and ODM, the two parties which have conducted nominations in various counties.
I have opted for the constituency as the unit of analysis and randomly selected 23 constituencies from 4 regions.
As seen in the figure below, the turn-out has been generally low across the sampled constituencies apart from the Kalenjin Rift where the turn-out in a number of constituencies has hit the 50% mark
In Mt. Kenya Region, the average turn-out rate for the 11 constituencies is estimated as 24% (approximately 216,000 votes from a total of 907,000).
This is significantly lower than the 2017 Jubilee Nomination results which recorded an average turn-out rate of 42%, hence the UDA nominations have recorded an 18 percentage point drop
In the Lake Region, I sampled 5 constituencies and the average turn-out rate was 11% (or approximately 71,500 votes from a total of 502,000)
Again, this is significantly lower than the average turn-out in the region of 51% recorded during the 2017 ODM Nominations, and this is a 40 percentage-points drop!
The Kalenjin Rift has so far recorded the highest turn-out rate in the nomination, with the average for 7 the sampled constituencies estimated as 48% (or about 207,000 votes from 433,000)
Compared with 2017, the region has recorded a 5 percentage-points drop which is significantly low compared with the other regions included in this analysis.
I also checked on one constituency in the Coast Region and I managed to get data for ODM Nominations in Msambweni constituency where the total turn-out was slightly about 3,000 from 79,777 registered voters returning a turn-out rate of only 4% lower than the estimate for 2017
In summary, the turn-out has been low across the regions compared with the 2017 party nominations regardless of the party.

1)  I've pointed out many times,The Kiambaa muguga and Juja by-election showed a Jubilee UDA tie of 50:50.The margins were very small.

2) Now the second issue is that,If GEMA are 90% UDA and having a UDA ticket is as sure as winning the General election,Why the low turnout in many constituencies across Central?

It just goes on to show UDA is overatee in GEMA and on August 9,2022.Ruto will shed tears.

Just take a look of how voters turned out in Central Vs Rv,

Not promising.

[Githunguri]

Take it from me. Just that dont want to expose him further(Right of Privacy) Just know he is a Jaduong . Thats enough.

Possibly - I have my doubts.

RV you need to stop misleading people. Githunguri is a Jaduong 100% .

Go AHEAD

[Kadudu]

Kwani being a Jaduong is a sin? Let Githunguri be what he is.

Do not go for the messenger. Shoot the message.

Take it from me. Just that dont want to expose him further(Right of Privacy) Just know he is a Jaduong . Thats enough.

[Githunguri]

Kwani being a Jaduong is a sin? Let Githunguri be what he is.

Do not go for the messenger. Shoot the message.

Take it from me. Just that dont want to expose him further(Right of Privacy) Just know he is a Jaduong . Thats enough.

There is a class warfare on this forum kadudu.

(1) Nowayhaha always reminds me am a Luo.

(2) Dear Mami (kadame) called me a low life slum dweller.

(3) Omollo called me mtoto WA Malaya.

(4) RV pundit calls me a low life from backstreet university.

Friends.I want to confirm to you all that I am all those things you call me.

Yes,Am a low IQ Luo child of Koinange prostitute who lives in Mukuru kwa Reuben.I am a Nairobi kanji cleaner who posts from Uhuru park while resting

The question I pose is,What has your privilege background got to do with me?How has it helped you?Like I asks earlier,How has your high IQ from UON achieved?Did you get $3MN for fintech?Did you start twitter or blockchain tech?Did you invent any vaccine?Did you get elected MCA on UDA or ODM nomination?

If you are spending time on this forum.You are just an ordinary citizen and go slow.

Proud Jaduong..

[Dear Mami]

(2) Dear Mami (kadame) called me a low life slum dweller.

Such a liar. I called you a low-life based on your tabia, and not a slum-dweller because I have too much respect for poor folk to use them as an insult. And I called you a low-life after you decided to make your first response to my post unprovoked matusi. Who does that if not a low-life without basic tabia that 5-year olds have already learned? And what did you expect? Your first response to someone's post is to insult them and you expect a hug in response? You tried hard to use class to get me to hit poor folk instead of you and I refused and insisted on calling you (and not shoe-shiners and the rest you desperately tried to throw in the mix) a low-life and kumbaff based on your tabia, that you happily demonstrated in several posts in the very thread, and not on your pocket, which I have no idea about. There are many rich low-lifes I know of, they are just as crude as you. And I know too many dignified poor folk to lump you in with them.

I told you you were demonstrating the tabia of chokoras and you went on to provide even more evidence of the same. Real street people have a good reason why they act wildly and provocatively--they've had no choice, but not someone like you with the benefit of society and even education. You have zero excuse and deserve the moniker I gave you for starting a convo with matusi. And while I may not use Omollo's colorful descriptors, you deserve what he gave you for hitting him unprovoked. Learn not to hit people who haven't attacked you and you may find people are not tempted to hit you back.

[Githunguri]

(2) Dear Mami (kadame) called me a low life slum dweller.

Such a liar. I called you a low-life based on your tabia, and not a slum-dweller because I have too much respect for poor folk to use them as an insult. And I called you a low-life after you decided to make your first response to my post unprovoked matusi. Who does that if not a low-life without basic tabia that 5-year olds have already learned? And what did you expect? Your first response to someone's post is to insult them and you expect a hug in response? You tried hard to use class to get me to hit poor folk instead of you and I refused and insisted on calling you (and not shoe-shiners and the rest you desperately tried to throw in the mix) a low-life and kumbaff based on your tabia, that you happily demonstrated in several posts in the very thread, and not on your pocket, which I have no idea about. There are many rich low-lifes I know of, they are just as crude as you. And I know too many dignified poor folk to lump you in with them.

I told you you were demonstrating the tabia of chokoras and you went on to provide even more evidence of the same. Real street people have a good reason why they act wildly and provocatively--they've had no choice, but not someone like you with the benefit of society and even education. You have zero excuse and deserve the moniker I gave you for starting a convo with matusi. And while I may not use Omollo's colorful descriptors, you deserve what he gave you for hitting him unprovoked. Learn not to hit people who haven't attacked you and you may find people are not tempted to hit you back.

What are you saying?