What destroyed Kibaki in Western is Kikuyuism..
That said MaDvD has no votes anywhere in western. Unless he runs for president. Luhyas just don't admire Deputy Presidentship.
But I see Ruto has got into the Raila trap of thinking once he has a tribal demagogue his tribe will vote for him. That worked for Moi because the demagogues had popular traditional support through say Akamba Union, Etc. Weta hasn't got that neither does Mudavadi.
In fact the era of demagogues is over. It's now about hitting the ground capturing churches and corrupting the tools of state from NIS operatives to county officials- not to get you votes but to stay away blind as you get votes.
Both candidates lack committed folks. They need to borrow from communist organic operations. Here you get a few people thoroughly committed to the cause where even when remaining with 5 shillings change they'll bring it back. There's no cause.
I recall our struggle against Kibaki in 2007. They could only rig but we reached a stage where citizens collected all "Kikuyu money" and surrendered it. We ran propaganda programs against bribery. That was a time!
Today it's bodaboda who are political malayas.
If Ruto has run out of money then he should hope Raila's aversion to bribery stands firm. Ruto designed his campaign on money... lots of money. He gets a chance if he has money. If he's fallen short he should cut his losses, push Gachagua and support him. That would be a NIGHTMARE scenario for Uhuru!
(1) How comes bukusu supported Kibaki and their leaders like Musikari Kombo,Mukhisa Kituyi lost their parliamentar
Luhya are roughly split into bukusu & leaning, mar
i& leaning, others. KANU use to win maragoli & other with bukusu following muliro the wamalwa supporting ford kenya.Succesion battle btw mukhisa and kombo on who was to succeed Wamalwa finished them both and gave rise to Wetangula who benefited from Kibaki reward of Bukusu.Weta in 2013 went with Raila and 2017 too.Now he is team Ruto.Madvd control maragoli n related about 30 percent of luhyas.Others became kanu orphans and were inherited by Raila ldp later ODM. 2022 is easy Ruto will take 2/3 of luhya