I have solid track record predicting kenya elections since I started in 2005 referendum...the rest are just jokes.
This one Ruto already won - 52-53 versus 46-47.
If you disagree - let meet on 10th August - a day after voting.
Only 2007 which was rigged didnt follow MOAS - the rest did. I had predicted a Raila win of 48 percent against Kibaki 43 percent. Kibaki rigged it to become 46 percent against 44 percent.
I predicted 2010 referendum - as 33 versus 67 - it came to 31.45 versus 68.6 percent. Most here were shouting Ruto will only get Kalenjin 13 percent - and would barely go past 20 percent. He did extremely well especially in Ukambani - where Nos beat the Yes.
I predicted 2013 as Uhuru win in 1st round of 52 versus 45 percent - it was 51 percent versus 43 percent for Raila. Most here were waiting for a re-run. I told them Uhuru nick in 1st round.
I predicted 2017 A as Uhuru wins of 53 versus 46 - it became 54 versus 45. Again the hopeless folks were hoping MaDVD would be the magic to take Raila plus 0.5M - to beating Uhuru. I told them Ruto had made lots of gains in NASA zones that would cancel maDVD 0.5M addition votes. Raila improved by 2 percent - Jubilee improved by 3 percent.
I predicted 2017 B as Uhuru win of 98 with Raila beating Turkana boy despite not running - it was exactly that.
Now hate me or not - the truth is stubborn - 2022 - I am telling you for free - your old man will be beaten by a million votes. 52-53 versus 46-47 percent. The familiar story of Raila big loss - he makes gains here - and takes losses there - end of day - he is stuck in no mans land. Too near yet too far from power.
MOAS margin of error as you can see is 1 percent.Yeah, I had that story before. Seems you like the number 70%. Ruto will win 2022 by 70% yet your Prof. Hornsby says clearly that election as of today is too close to call. @Noway like a broken clock is right, this once. With each post you make, throwing careless numbers eti 70%, you are "degrading" yourself on Veritas blog. Let us not even talk of Twitter coz no one there replies to your Moass, gives a like or retweet.
DO NOT DISMISS SENATE HEARINGS. By law they are quasi-Judicial. This is a quasi Judicial hearing not a political rally. It is not a question of who supports who, it is a effort by an institution in a country governed by the rule of law to deliver Justice for the mwanachi. For the record the Senate was told it was Murkomen mentioned along with "wale wanakula ni wetu". On this occasion, that is what will be recorded in the Hansard. In a judicial setting, what counts is the evidence given, not what you think as you analyze on the armchair or what your wet dream is calling "Ufool".
Democracy mean Murkomen will not get 100 percent - Shida iko wapi. You expect all Kalenjin to vote Ruto or Murkomen. The Mzee there is blaming the wrong man - Ufool is one who killed maize farming - when Ruto had made it profitable.
As for Bukusu - they are in camp Ruto - majority - and you're the minority backing Raila. You're talking 2013 - when Ruto doubled jubilee votes in 2017 - and got 5 mps elected out of 8.
Wacha hasira - UDA/FORD-K will sweep Bukusu in Bungoma, Tranzoia and Kakamega - and elsewhere. Right now it's look like 70 percent versus 30 percent. It could go higher.
Gosh! Eti Murkomen is "so" popular in Elgeyo Marakwet
. Maybe it is a Kale thing not to be ashamed when undressed in public like this old man did to Murkomen in a public gathering on plight of the maize farmer. Imagine Ruto loots from everyone, cannot even spare his own tribe! NO SHAME. Now asking for votes from the very people they stole votes from. Bukusu villagers massacred in 2013 and Luto still thinks he will win in Bungoma with his fake poll numbers.