I am saying opinion polls will never show you 98% - that is why we do MOASS;
As for Uhuru factor - please check MOAS again.
The thing is Ruto has not been sleeping - waiting for Uhuru to make moves.
He has been making his own moves.
In effect most of losses Ruto will take from Uhuru - he will gain by raiding NASA.
Western in 2013 votes Jubilee 4 percent - and that improved to about 25 percent in 2017
Now prepare for 70 percent - thanks to maDVD+Weta - and Ruto own hard-nosed campaign.
Ruto has also won NASA generals like Muthama & Nanok
You wish.
Mt Kenya: 98 vs 75% is MAJOR drop in politics.
Worse is Uhuru Marchiavellian effect in places like Gusii, NEP, Luhya where he sponsor regional Azimio parties. Before we get to courting Kalonzo.
Aspirant- wise UDA 5700 vs 7800 Jubilee... is herculean 37% drop.
Ruto will lose 2022 principally for fallout with Uhuru.
Opinion poll wise there is very little difference btw Uhuru numbers and Ruto numbers - except in few places - the rejection of Raila in mt kenya is total - Uhuru has been try to pay people to run on Jubilee with no takers.
Ngirici left UDA log time ago,I don't know why you keep talking of her.Kiraitu knows who will form next govt,Meru people are okay with him joining azimio,would it have been Nandi or Kericho,we would have taken your counsel seriously.Raila nit being sellable in central is an old and tired narrative by tangatangas sooth their egos.As we speak ground is split down the middle.Woe unto you,those who had hoped to ride on Kikuyus.