So what's MDVD play? DP? Guy can't be that delusional. If RAO picks GEMA, Ruto will not risk a non-GEMA DP.
Mdvd the bimbo has blundered again. He can suffer the revolt or join it.
You see Mdvd and Kalonzo formed Cerelac coalition as a bargaining chip in the hope Raila & Uhuru would tosha them. They knew Ruto wouldn't budge - remember he can't be DPORK again. Kalonzo was cooking a technical committee, Mdvd meantime was in secret talks with Ruto. Uhuru & Raila sniffed this and put Eugene to work with DAP-K. Gideon was left to man Kalonzo.
Despite the bravado Ruto was scared of Raila's big Azimio coalition. The desperation led to hasty concessions to Mdvd. But with the race so tight he needs every inch of Mt Kenya... it's why you see Pundit giving him 75% - which is a false wild triumph he does not even give Raila in Ukambani.
But as he goes for a Kikuyu, Luhyas will revolt. Malala will not just seat and wait to lose - they will throw feats cry betrayal and bolt. Because Luhya revolt means they lose their seats to Azimio. 2002 redux.