maDVD made huge blunder in 2013 and became the laughing stock when Uhuru reneged on the deal - calling maDVD a demon in the process

Jubilee wanted him to run - and not join CORD - so they played along Kibaki's Project - but eventually Uhuru changed his mind due to "public" pressure.
MaDVD still posted 4% but Jubilee became TAWE! They got almost zero votes from Luhyas.
Ruto has since mended those fences - by 2017 - Jubilee hatred had nearly gone - improving tremendously from 4 % to almost 30% - thanks mostly to rural paved roads.
Ruto didnt stop there - has visited Luhyaland almost every week for 10yrs - and now he has some real play in Luhyaland. Ruto has always had Luhya as PLAN B if GEMA were to renege.
MaDVD himself has a lot rebuild himself - from a joker who was played like fool in 2013 to a serious national leader and - has strong clear case why he is dumping Raila - betrayal of Western by Raila in the amorphous handshake stand very clear to everyone - because Uhuru has been busy going to Kisumu - and nowhere else in NASALAND. Apart from Atwoli - Luhyas have not seen the fruits of handshake.
Weta is coming along - bring lot more credibility.
Both Weta and MaDVD proved themselves in by election by winning Matungu and Kabuchai
IN SHORT - MOASS will be downgrading Raila in the coming weeks - because frankly old dude Atwoli and oparanya from little subtribe of luhyas - cannot handle the combined MaDVD, Ruto and Weta.
Raila is in BIG BIG TROUBLE in Luhyaland.
Opinion polls have been showing real BIG numbers for RUto in Western and Ukambani but I was ignoring. But I cannot ignore Western ANYMORE.Ukambani is still fickle until Kalonzo makes a decision...Ruto still the second option for Kambas..because like Luhyas they also feel handshake has gone to Kisumu and Raila...left them barren.