There was no pre-planned violence therefore no intelligence. Dont lie to yourself. Kibaki like you now thought RV were going to stomach the rigging and basically his plan was to deal with Luos. He knew Luos would protest violently and he prepared well for that - sending thousands of GSU to Nairobi and Kisumu slums.
Like you now - he never saw the volcano in RV erupting - and before he realized it - it was over and done.
Again I am warning you - understand Kalenjin - and understand Ruto.
Kalenjin are ever ready for war. It's just a question of when. Ruto basically has to just say I am rigged and the supreme court is compromised. HIYO TU. He can take a flight to Hague and watch the scene unfold in Khan office for REAL ALIBI. Kalenjin traditional war infrastructure will be activated and the war will erupt.
Mt Elgon committed a big mistake - it was essentially civil war btw Sabaots - they as kalenjin say eating their own intestines - and therefore Kalenjin were very happy with Kibaki and KDF to deal with them.
Kalenjin really value unity - and what saves Mois & my father in PNU - was that restraint that you cannnot attack another Kalenjin - you cannot steal from another kalenjin - it consider a big sin - because kalejin have dual sin system - to kill or steal from a foreigner is not big deal - but to steal a kalenjin cow or kill a kalenjin is considered inter-generation curse that entire clan has to pay or they will suffer. So there is a lot of Kalenjin unity and harmony - and this also help in stuff like internal defense.
I am going to be the LAST PERSON to lie to people at risk of their life to stay put in 2022 august - stay on your toes - Kalenjin will NOT start war until they know it's over - like the voting has ended completely - 1st and 2nd round - supreme court has ended - then if they feel injustice - gov had better be ready and potential victim had better be ready to quickly move away. This time round potential victim could be 1992 - not 2007.
Dont wait to be found nabbing - Kalenjin mobilize in very very short time - matters of hours - and cause destruction in matters of hours - then they go back to farming like nothing happened.
Read Akiwumi report vizuri of 1992 and then Waki report of 2007. It volcanic eruption that is quickly mobilized and de-mobilized if objective has been achieved.
Kalenjin were the only people in East Africa that settled sparsely - one or two families living in a ridge - not in manyattas or in huge villages like other tribes - because of that internal defense mechanism - that can rapidly respond to war cry!!! It also one reason kalenjin dont like urban areas...
I have seen in Nairobi and other places that someone calls for help at night or day by wailing and nobody respond - Kalenjin the moment they hear a wail - they respond with everything they have - dogs, weapons and name . It almost impossible a thief can escape. If you dont respond - you will only be asked one question - did you hear the cry for help or wailing? then why did you not respond?
I dont say this because I want war - I say this to warn 1) Uhuru and company 2) potential victimsWar will start immediately Ruto raises a cry for help. He just need to wail hapo KICC that NIMEIBWO! Kalenjin will respond immediately - no sooner would the press conference be done - than first destruction will start.
That is what makes Ruto incredibly powerful...he can mobilize 7m kalenjin by just wailing.
In 2007 the ingridients of war were too much thatvit was obvious there was going to be a war. Intelligence information also leaked before hand and also Kibaki was not ready to use Military..
Months later he used them against Mt Elgon defense forces ame crashed the militant group in amatter of days.
Right now things are very different.
You're dumb. Of course such war will only happen if 1) Ruto is rigged 2) Koome is compromised. 2007 war was easy to predict because it was clearly ODM were not going to supreme court.
In 2007 I was the only one who said there is going to be war. Its on record. The war ended up being between Police forces and stone throwers in slums and Kisumu.
If there is going to be any war trust me , you will hear it first hand from me.
Ruto is not that dumb to fall into the war trap and destroy his chances of 2022 elections. Matiangi and ODM ans dare I say you are really hoping and trying hard for a war scenario.
