Tigray taking over Ethiopia

[RV Pundit]

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I predict a month or so before the fall of Ethiopia

[RV Pundit]

With oromo https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/tigrayan-forces-say-they-have-seized-another-town-ethiopias-amhara-region-2021-10-31/

[KenyanPlato]

This is bad for Abiy he is losing. I wonder how much of control he has of the army and Addis.

[RV Pundit]

He is done..I remember telling you it would end badly.Now Nobel laureate is calling for civilians to fight ...last days of his regime.Ethiopia army has nearly a million poorly trained soldiers or militias

[Arcadian_Dreamer]

Unless the IC broker some kind of power sharing agreement, he is done. The speed with which his forces have collapsed is surprising. He has no fighting troops that is clear, Ethiopian army is a shell of its self. Tigray are still the most cohesive and capable fighters in Ethiopia. He has to sue for peace now and hope the US compel the TDF to halt their advance.

[patel]

They called him out. Uhunye was here. Strange how all these things are related. Only china man can save him. Who will pay the loans?

Unless the IC broker some kind of power sharing agreement, he is done. The speed with which his forces have collapsed is surprising. He has no fighting troops that is clear, Ethiopian army is a shell of its self. Tigray are still the most cohesive and capable fighters in Ethiopia. He has to sue for peace now and hope the US compel the TDF to halt their advance.

[Georgesoros]

Its not a good thing for thewhole region. Ethiopia needs to he stable.

[Kadudu]

Will distablise Eritrea, Sudan and Somalia. Tigrayans can only fight. Ruling is not their thing. Reminds me of Pundit and his kinsmen.

Its not a good thing for thewhole region. Ethiopia needs to he stable.

So what do you see them doing if the capture Addis? Will they impose dictatorship or will they try to bring in all parties on board and move to federation

[gout]

Good military analysis.

[RV Pundit]

He is asking civilians to defend adis Ababa using guns against rocket

[RV Pundit]

Will distablise Eritrea, Sudan and Somalia. Tigrayans can only fight. Ruling is not their thing. Reminds me of Pundit and his kinsmen.

Its not a good thing for thewhole region. Ethiopia needs to he stable.

So what do you see them doing if the capture Addis? Will they impose dictatorship or will they try to bring in all parties on board and move to federation

Meles zenawi grew Ethiopian economy

[RV Pundit]

Ethiopia gov declares state of emergency as rebels take more territory
https://nation.africa/kenya/news/africa/ethiopia-declares-state-of-emergency-3605596

[Georgesoros]

just negotiate a damn thing instead of destruction

[Fairandbalanced]

[KenyanPlato]

Yeah it is sad. Hopefully this can end quickly and all parties find a way to work together to fix whatever led to this war. It such a set back for Ethiopia. As Vooke says that any country producing refugees is a failed one. Ethiopia has been producing refugees for ages.

[KenyanPlato]

just negotiate a damn thing instead of destruction

Yeah Abiy should negotiate and end this. I do not think the rebels will give up until the take power. He should just negotiate his way out of power while keep protections in place for his supporters.

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

Totally agree. Tribes and corruption/poverty , I believe are the main culprits in Ethiopian war. Tigrinya and ethnic somalis vs majority Oromos and similar tribes!

[Fairandbalanced]

[Georgesoros]

And then the so called "Presidente" tells people to pick up arms and fight? WTF of a presidente is that? He bet big on killing so called enemies and now has lost - OWN it. Whoever who gave this moron a Nobel prize should take it back. We need development not wars.

Also, this might create a vacuum for a surging Shababs creating an EA problem for another 5yrs.

[RV Pundit]

Time to talk was last year. It's time for Nobel Laurate to plan a orderly exit from power. He caused it by refusing to hold election on the pretext of COVID-19. When Tigrays decided hold election as scheduled - he declared war.

The stupid Abiy War almost at most inopportune time of covid economic shocks - and a war that was really stupid in many ways - Tigrays having been kicked out of power - had retreated to their regions and were happy to do their own stuff - why FOLLOW and KILL THEM in their little corner? They had no numbers to influence politics.

Ethiopia future is more federalism - the country is too unwieldly to be managed from Adis Ababa - give each of the regions even greater autonomy - and leave Ethiopia federal gov as just symbol of national unity -otherwise it will be long civil war - and instability as secretarian tribal secession wars take over.

Abiy like South Sudan Salva Kiir are two morons who have dragged their country down. He got Nobel for making peace with Eritrea - little did people realize he was planning a joint Eritrea and Ethiopia massacre of the Tigrayans.

Kenya should learn from Ethiopia. As we approach 2022 -  we similarly could melt into a civil war if Uhuru plays games with Ruto. Nonsense like I have the army so I can do as please do not work all the time - Ethiopia has 1 million armed forces - more tanks than kenya can imagine - they are being taken prisoners of war in their thousands daily.