Yes they need to present evidence of outside arming. It's ENDF who are leaving their weapons and tanks for Tigrays. Yes Abbiy bought drones but as of yesterday Turkey was telling it's citizen to leave.
He bought drones from China, Iran and Turkey. This is what is helping delay the match to Adis.
I think Abiy has fallen out with his military commanders because he wants human shield basically erected...he thinks putting millions of ill trained militias, citizens and name it....will stop Tigrays.
The commanders know that is just cannon fodder - they have seen thousands killed in so called human shield...and they are therefore avoiding conflict in urban centers.
Adis will fall without a single shot fired....because nobody except desperate foolish Abiy will want to block tanks, rockets, and mortars with citizen armed with sticks, stones and g3s.
Abiy will run to asylum - and citizen even if they hate Tigrays - will be told to stay home for a week - and Tigrays will take over - and return federalism - if not allow secession referendum in Tigray and Oromia.
Ethiopia likely to go into referendum and split into 8 countries. If Amhara love Ethiopia - then they will accept Tigrays to sit on them for another 30yrs - because no way Tigrays are leaving Adis Ababa except if their country become independent.
Likely to happen - Tigray goes independent, Oromia goes independent taking Adis, Ogaden become Somali independent state. Afar will also become independent.
Amhara will remain with Gambelas and others and become Ethiopia...their HQ will become Tana.
Otherwise another option is more federalism but with Tigrays as titular head. They wont allow anybody else to take power. They are going to double down on having very strong Tigray Forces, a weak Ethiopia federal forces and more stock pilling of arms for future wars.
Seems most of the arms were stolen from endf or acquire from endf after they abandoned their positions. There is no evidence of outside arming of TDF. I know abiy is buying drones from turkey
I think splitting Ethiopia to several countries may be the solution. The country is too big to be effectively ruled. Looking at its terrain it seems to replicate kenya on having more semi and arid area. The countries can then have an economic federation that would eventually down the in may 30 years create a federal political system. This Menelik cruel marriage must be dissolved and let everyone go their separate way
