Tues 9th August 2022, Election Day
Yes he talking to my sources on the ground Raila 10% in central is gone for good with the confirmation. The voters are polarized. I would also say the same for RV so raila hope lies in Nyanza, western and coast. Eastern belongs to GEMA so it will go to uhuru or whoever GEMA candidate is. NEP is just north eastern still voting KANU even in 2007. Raila achilles hill is tribal chauvinism and with I can say Raila will lucky to be elected 4th president of Kenya
Phil,be honest, raila cannot poll more than 10% in Kiambu that is a fact. Githunguri was heckled because he is seen as a Raila supporter a dangerous thing to be politically in kiambu if you want to be voted back as MP..Kiambu right now is EUPHORiC about uhuru but we have to wait and see what the next 10 months bring the sentiment may change but for NOW RAILA should save Tuju type of shaming by not trying to campaign in Kiambu
Did he even have Central in the first place? I have always maintained Raila was and most probably will be wasting his time and resources trying to campaign in central. They will never vote for him, period! The issue is not about ICC, for everyone knows that Raila did not in anyway influence the proceedings. If anything, he was at the forefront of campaigning for establishment of local tribunal. ICC matter is all but an excuse.The once upon a time njamba was only useful when he mobilised his people to vote for Kibaki. Same way Ruto is now useful with the expectation that he can mobilise Rift Valley to vote for Uhuru or spoil for Raila, after which atawachwa kwa mataa. They don't have time for him, only interested in the Kalenjin vote.There is already talk of fronting George Kinuthia Saitoti, just in case something happens to Uhuru. If the problem was this 'Jaruo', why are they not thinking of supporting someone like Kalonzo? I always ask them.The best Raila can get from Gema, are a few votes from Meru, especially from the Nyambene (Maua) areas.I frequently visit many of those areas and in the process carry out some 'opinion polls'. That is the situation on the ground.The best bet for Raila is to woo back the Kalenjin even if to count in the run off. It is not an impossibility.The other option is to vigorously campaign in ODM strongholds and sensitize people on the need for a high voter turn out. Otherwise, Raila still has a long way to go.
Mangai, your said what I was trying to tell others but i am limited in articulating my points well like you did.. Raila hope now lies in mombasa,nyanza, parts of western, nairobi, otherwise he will not make it and will be lose to uhuru and ruto coalition
Raila is now effective locked out of Central, RV and Parts of western.. Coast may fall soon and then we can say Former PM was a boisterous man who wanted to be president but was stopped dead on tracks by Tribal supremacy coalitions
affirmed,we are on the same page what my other debators are forgetting to read is my caveat that for now the support is gone but raila may reclaim the 10% in the next 10 months. The G7 plan is still intact The plan is very simple they want to balkanize RV, Central, western and some parts of coast to deny raila the chance to win in the first round. Uhuru opponents in central PK and Maritha have no answer for Uhuru and Ruto wave. so they are left cluess and afraid of confronting enraged Uhuru camp. Unless someone with credibility with Central voters like Kimunya runs to spoil some votes for Uhuru things are thick for ODM
Njamba is only revealing the common/shared believe among the Kikuyus. As unfortunate as it might sound, that is the reality on the ground. We need to live with it. You'll be surprised at how some people hate Raila with a passion. There is already talk of fronting Saitoti if Uhuru was not to stand.
What is this about now. I was correct. This time around he has a chance of getting about 15% of the vote. That is if nothing changes between now and elections time. Given ruto Vs raila the older generation will pick raila
The question is , With this 15 % he will get from Mt Kenya while you minus what he will loose from previous Anti Gema electorate make him the President.
Topic: Njamba in 2012 Told Us To Write Off Raila in Central (Read 1309 times)