Robina - what if Kalonzo accept Ruto offer - and takes 1/3 of gov

[RV Pundit]

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I noticed yesterday Ruto dispatched a chopper of Muthama/Khawale to Kitui and they made up with Kalonzo. Kalonzo of course threw his jabs - that Ruto is the only agenda he has. That could be a redherring.

Muthama could deliver Kalonzo - coz the man is definitely too broke to run a national campaign - and Peter Muthoka may not be willing to finance him as much as Muthama used to do.

I believe Ruto can finish Kalonzo in two ways 1) Give him 1/3 of gov - that is like 5 ministers - and give him some job - Majority Leader or Chief Minister 2) Give him say 3B kshs hard cash in untraceable Bitcoins - it better than spending it campaign. 3) Wiper wins 4 governorship - for Kalonzo patronage.

After that next presidential election will be held in 2032 - no need to waste money.

Kalonzo if he go with Raila - it same 43 percent. They add maDVD it 46 percent. And they divide power in 5 or so configuration. Within OKA - maDVD is clear favourite. He runs alone - and hope for coalition - Runs wins in Round 1.

[Nefertiti]

Politics is the art of the possible. In meantime Kalonzo VICIOUSLY ATTACKS RUTO while throwing baby punches at Raila. Ditto for Mdvd. Political thawing happens gradually not overnight and so I remain convinced NASA divorce is a tactic to corner respective bases.

Weta is the only one that seems Ruto-pliable and genuinely bitter with Raila. Explains why there is a FordK fracas - makes it hard for Rectangular to strike a deal without Wamunyinyi-Eseli-Wangamati axis dismissing it.

This Kalonzo-Ruto is mega-IFF .. kama ndoto. We equally don't know if Kuria or Kiunjuri would leave Ruto - except the obvious noises in hustler camp.

What do we know? People will switch camps next one year. If you want to dry-run if's try this: Weta joins Ruto, Kiunjuri joins Uhuru.

[RV Pundit]

Muthama is john the baptist to deliver Kalonzo. He always deliver Kalonzo. Kalonzo regrets why he didn't take 1/3 offer Uhuru and Ruto gave him in the gazebo in 2013. He run to Raila and 10yrs later - Raila is still asking for 3rd push up the tall mountain. This despite MOU clearly saying Raila win or lose will back Kalonzo.

Weta I hear long accepted National Speaker position in Ruto gov (Theoritical he will be 3rd in gov ranking) - with Lusaka alliance to take on Wamunyiyi/Wangamati/Esli group and Chris Wamalwa wins Tranzoia governorship.

When Kalonzo go to meeting with Muthama and makes up - and then berate Ruto - know he is just throwing you offcard.

Kalonzo has to drop the DPORK demand - it for GEMA nation - they have more votes. His 8 percent can get him 3 CS - each for 3 counties of Ukambani - and Majority Leader or Chief Minister for himself.

OKA looks like maDVD. Very likely to be adopted by Jubilee-handshake because Raila is an impossible sell. Raila will gobble his own coalition of Mutuas, Eselis, Johos and such

All their BBI dreams of prime minister sijui nini is gone to the winds. Confirmation on 20th August.

Politics is the art of the possible. In meantime Kalonzo VICIOUSLY ATTACKS RUTO while throwing baby punches at Raila. Ditto for Mdvd. Political thawing happens gradually not overnight and so I remain convinced NASA divorce is a tactic to corner respective bases.

Weta is the only one that seems Ruto-pliable and genuinely bitter with Raila. Explains why there is a FordK fracas - makes it hard for Rectangular to strike a deal without Wamunyinyi-Eseli-Wangamati axis dismissing it.

This Kalonzo-Ruto is mega-IFF .. kama ndoto. We equally don't know if Kuria or Kiunjuri would leave Ruto - except the obvious noises in hustler camp.

What do we know? People will switch camps next one year. If you want to dry-run if's try this: Weta joins Ruto, Kiunjuri joins Uhuru.