If Raila had some brain cells left

[RV Pundit]

• Tweet

1) He would tell not be party to the appeal - it's Uhuru's time-wasting (time buying) ploy. Uhuru never wanted BBI from the get-go. Maybe later when he really fell out with Ruto did he embrace it - otherwise, he would have nailed BBI in 2019 or a long time ago - not exactly a year to the election - and six months to the campaign period. Museveni for example remove 70yr limit - nearly 5yrs before he turned 70 .

Uhuru if he wanted BBI would have crossed all the Ts and dotted all the I from ab initio. He committed unforced errors all through with almost the intention to provoke this kind of ruling as justification to bring an end to BBI/Handshake at the appropriate time.

BBI as popular initiative is completely damaged. It cannot be rescued. It was almost designed to fail by the same AG - and Uhuru - so their appeal is a time-wasting ploy to buy off opposition support for another one year.

2) He should tell Uhuru to use parliamentary initiative - having proven they can get 2/3 on both houses - on new BBI like proposals. As long as they stay clear on basic structure - they can still get about 80% of BBI to pass.

All it takes is for one Mp draft a constitutional amendment bill -  and get a date (Kimunya-Speaker-Mbadi) can arrange that - and for it to go through the motions. 1st reading will require 3 months. So give and take - public participation - this can be done in six months - just before next year.

Obviously pulling 2/3 when Ruto engages will be a lot harder....Ruto had disengaged knowing BBI was DOA...but with parliamentary initiative it will be a lot harder.

3) Finally prepare for 2022 election:) - UDA seem the only party aware that we have 2022 - and are doing party registration, meeting party members nationally, and the hard work on laying the infrastructure. After party registration - UDA will definitely go for grassroots elections. Raila should be busy with ODM national elections - that only way to re-invigorate the party - and to weed off dead woods.

4) Raila's best bet in 2022 is to aim for no 2 and deny Ruto the first-round victory. To become No 2 - you'll need at least 30% of the vote. Raila support has shrunken to less than 20%.

[Nowayhaha]

How about summarize as follows , Raila should come up with Plan B as he was being adviced by Orengo and Omollo.
Raila doesnt care about BBIs contents so he carelesses if they are able to pass in parliament or not. He wanted a Contest against Ruto so as to scuttle Ruto chances in 2022 elections.
What Orengo and Omollo realised is even if there is a contest it will do little damage to Rutos quest for Presidency hence its better to try another way to slow or stop Ruto. Railas brother was even blunt and this almost dented Rutos chances if 2022 election. His idea was to join hands with Ruto , with that Ruto loses Mt Kenya and most likely have a Run off in 2022 elections .

[RV Pundit]

Yes, but PR is important too. So getting something however little out of BBI would be nice! Anyway he is already swallowed uhuru bait - line and hook - so he will be busy in the courts in a dead case.

How about summarize as follows , Raila should come up with Plan B as he was being adviced by Orengo and Omollo.
Raila doesnt care about BBIs contents so he carelesses if they are able to pass in parliament or not. He wanted a Contest against Ruto so as to scuttle Ruto chances in 2022 elections.
What Orengo and Omollo realised is even if there is a contest it will do little damage to Rutos quest for Presidency hence its better to try another way to slow or stop Ruto. Railas brother was even blunt and this almost dented Rutos chances if 2022 election. His idea was to join hands with Ruto , with that Ruto loses Mt Kenya and most likely have a Run off in 2022 elections .