Bwana Pundit
Mudavadi has never been good at propaganda. You're seen in a city hotel for days meeting regime ghosts then you go back home to deny it?
He denied being a project in 2013 only to fail to explain Kioni and many other things. If he was a state candidate in 2013 failed to deploy the full power of the state and lost how can he do it today?
As VP he failed to deploy the same. I'm not sure I'd lose sleep over Mudavadi candidacy. There's a cheap antidote.
Get a man or men who can tolerate huge amounts of alcohol. Give them money and send them to join his entourage. At the least opportunity let them take him to the nearest bar. Being mean he patronizes backstreet taverns where he even owes lots in unpaid bills (from the grapevine but believable because drunks do that.) Pay all those bills so he doesn't hide from some places.
Make sure he drinks till morning. Not just him but his entourage. End of project!