I think BBI is officially dead; Killed by Corona. I doubt anybody can tell kenyans that our priority is to amend the constitution when kids have not been in school for a year, millions have lost jobs and the global economy is suffering. Start thinking of working with what we have. If they bring BBI - it will be shot down so spectacularly.
In any case we already in October - and BBI still gathering dust. BBI made sense in 2018 - when NASA was grumbling and had boycott election - otherwise right now the only BBI or handshake that can be done is btw Uhuru and Ruto. Raila is taken care of
- really no need for katiba change - if you trust Raila - let him become PORK and ammend Katiba together with 2022 election.
Otherwise if you want revolution now - bring BBI. You can buy time till 2022 but if you play around with Kenyans - you'll get kibaki kind of treatment.
Raila your horse is dead, tired and kaput. Ruto is the new deal. The new Raila.
Yes ODM was NDP + Kanu. And now Mobutu after 15 years struggle to undo trojan 1 - Baba has pulled the rug from under his feet using trojan 2 aka Handshake.
Mobutu strategy is counterintuitive: 2002 Raila only took off with Mijikenda and Luhya. Kalenjin, MATUSA, NFD only canoodled with ODM about 3 years on their way from Kanu to URP. Mijikenda is different animal - little in common with URP pastoralists. Non-GEMA is very diverse house that was easy to unite as 41 vs 1. Without GEMA boogyman Mobutu has nothing to offer them.
GEMA the big problem is Prince Uhuru; then Mobutu is not Gema yet it took him whole 10 years to take over RV after Moi. It very tough journey to craft all-fitting safina that URP, Gema, Luhya, Mijikenda can fit - amorphous hustler movement is very tough sell as BBI anti-thesis. You seem to ignore the essence of BBI as credible power-sharing formula. It tribe vs class any way you slice and dice it.