At least you have stopped the cheap dark forces spin where Nancy or Kibicho promote Matiang'i
Uhuru cards come down to what we debated here a while back.
First, Ruto must be cut to size - this is going well. Lock him out of GEMA and reduce his clout in other places. You can see Ruto's desperation to keep GEMA in insisting Uhuru is in his corner which of course noone believe. Unless Ruto corners 70%+ of non-GEMA he is in trouble. Kamatusa are his natural constituency.. No miracle will make Luhya or Mijikenda fall in line.
Two, Uhuru is a selfish vampire who is not going to support Babu for nothing. And GEMA are not stupid to hand over power to Ruto or Raila with no new king. You heard this from Waiguru in Murang'a. GEMA will stick with Uhuru 100% - you know this surely - and Ruto who is powerless to stop referendum in Parliament - will play the cheap hustler vs dynasty. He will lose to the Raila inclusion card which appeals to anyone outside Kikuyu and Kalenjin.
Ruto will lose the referendum to Raila + Uhuru. 2010 redux. 2022 is open with the rearranged deck.
Uhuru if he is selling Raila is kaput. That I think is the red line that GEMA have drawn. If he is selling himself - then fine. That I think is the problem he is facing. Moi had the same scenario in 2002. He was deeply respected and supported - for like 20 yrs he ran anti-GEMA campaign - and then suddenly in 2001 he is came around - and endorse Uhuru - all the anit-gema constituency in he had built in the country immediately revolted - 1/3 of Kalenjin also bolted immediately - and now Moi for last 20 yrs - doesn't know exactly what happened.In short - Uhuru has spent decade fighting Raila and building a coalition against ODM - he cannot turn 360% - he also cannot pretend to talk about peace - because every kikuyus knows the real peace they have to make or keep is with Kalenjin - there are at least 1m kikuyus living in RV - they have relatives all over central. You cannot talk about peace in Kondele and compare to to that.
The majority simply don't understand where Uhuru is going...because he is keeping his cards close to his chest.
In any case Uhuru has to go through a referendum if he wants to continue to be political player. That looks very impossible now. Ruto already controls about 20 counties - and just need about 4 to knock out BBI when if it comes.