Mwangi wa equity

[RV Pundit]

NAsa desperado latest straw. Their win was in the server that contained illegal data (statistics).Server data was never hidden. Read only access logs are out there. Full access granted. Morpho who hold the data conducted server audit - server never hacked. There are paper physical forms. They are ballots in ballot boxes until now.

[Nefertiti]

Omollo verbatim... 8.3m v 8.2m with broad-brush turnout.

http://www.nipate.org/index.php?topic=4917.msg36711#msg36711

[Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants]

Windy
Do you have an alternative calculus of how naragolis and giriamas have numbers to win an election

Luhya, Luo, Kamba, Mijikenda, Kisii core will win all day long in a democratic setting.  Check census numbers.

We have census numbers..even omollo tried to crunch the numbers and he realized a NASA presidency was not gonna happen..take a spreadsheet and show me the winning calculus.i respect numbers

Below are the 2009 census numbers.

GEMA/Kalenjin Core = 13,916,164
Luhya, Luo, Kamba, Kisii, Mijikenda Core = 17,442,506

A difference of 3.5 million.  Almost the entire Kamba contribution.

Now one can make the arguments that NASA has not locked these tribes up or any other twist on demographics, even without data or evidence.  But what one cannot do, with a straight face, is to claim that GEMA and Kalenjin are more than them - or that they even come close.  If we just assume a straightforward ethnic census, Jubilee loses.  All day long.

Kikuyu tribe, 6622576
Luhya tribe, 5338666
Kalenjin tribe, 4967328
Luo tribe, 4044440
Kamba tribe, 3893157
Somali tribe, 2385572
Kisii tribe, 2205669
Mijikenda tribe, 1960574
Meru tribe,1658108
Turkana tribe, 988592
Maasai tribe, 841622
Teso tribe, 338833
Embu tribe, 324092
Taita tribe, 273519
Kuria tribe, 260401
Samburu tribe, 237179
Tharaka tribe, 175905
Mbeere, 168155
Borana, 161399
Basuba, 139271
Swahili, 110614
Gabra, 89515
Orma, 66275
Rendile, 60437

[RV Pundit]

Lame MOAS. When you finally get time to do full MOAS - based on even census - leave alone registrated votes - we can argue. For instance how many Gusii will vote NASA - 99% like Luo - or 60%? What make them core? Or well revert to usual strongholds or swing or battlegrounds. What about Mijikenda - is 15-20% Jubilee support base that non-core as 1% Kikuyu NASA supporters?

Below are the 2009 census numbers.

GEMA/Kalenjin Core = 13,916,164
Luhya, Luo, Kamba, Kisii, Mijikenda Core = 17,442,506

A difference of 3.5 million.  Almost the entire Kamba contribution.

Now one can make the arguments that NASA has not locked these tribes up or any other twist on demographics, even without data or evidence.  But what one cannot do, with a straight face, is to claim that GEMA and Kalenjin are more than them - or that they even come close.  If we just assume a straightforward ethnic census, Jubilee loses.  All day long.

Kikuyu tribe, 6622576
Luhya tribe, 5338666
Kalenjin tribe, 4967328
Luo tribe, 4044440
Kamba tribe, 3893157
Somali tribe, 2385572
Kisii tribe, 2205669
Mijikenda tribe, 1960574
Meru tribe,1658108
Turkana tribe, 988592
Maasai tribe, 841622
Teso tribe, 338833
Embu tribe, 324092
Taita tribe, 273519
Kuria tribe, 260401
Samburu tribe, 237179
Tharaka tribe, 175905
Mbeere, 168155
Borana, 161399
Basuba, 139271
Swahili, 110614
Gabra, 89515
Orma, 66275
Rendile, 60437

[Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants]

Lame MOAS. When you finally get time to do full MOAS - based on even census - leave alone registrated votes - we can argue. For instance how many Gusii will vote NASA - 99% like Luo - or 60%? What make them core? Or well revert to usual strongholds or swing or battlegrounds. What about Mijikenda - is 15-20% Jubilee support base that non-core as 1% Kikuyu NASA supporters?

Below are the 2009 census numbers.

GEMA/Kalenjin Core = 13,916,164
Luhya, Luo, Kamba, Kisii, Mijikenda Core = 17,442,506

A difference of 3.5 million.  Almost the entire Kamba contribution.

Now one can make the arguments that NASA has not locked these tribes up or any other twist on demographics, even without data or evidence.  But what one cannot do, with a straight face, is to claim that GEMA and Kalenjin are more than them - or that they even come close.  If we just assume a straightforward ethnic census, Jubilee loses.  All day long.

Kikuyu tribe, 6622576
Luhya tribe, 5338666
Kalenjin tribe, 4967328
Luo tribe, 4044440
Kamba tribe, 3893157
Somali tribe, 2385572
Kisii tribe, 2205669
Mijikenda tribe, 1960574
Meru tribe,1658108
Turkana tribe, 988592
Maasai tribe, 841622
Teso tribe, 338833
Embu tribe, 324092
Taita tribe, 273519
Kuria tribe, 260401
Samburu tribe, 237179
Tharaka tribe, 175905
Mbeere, 168155
Borana, 161399
Basuba, 139271
Swahili, 110614
Gabra, 89515
Orma, 66275
Rendile, 60437

Like I said

Now one can make the arguments that NASA has not locked these tribes up or any other twist on demographics, even without data or evidence.