Author Topic: MOAS parliamentary prediction versus IEBC official results  (Read 2029 times)

Offline RV Pundit

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MOAS parliamentary prediction versus IEBC official results
« on: August 11, 2017, 12:00:05 PM »

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: MOAS parliamentary prediction versus IEBC official results
« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2017, 12:06:52 PM »
The summary
FINAL RESULTS :
NATIONAL ASSEMBLY
1.JUBILEE MPS--------------163 ( MOAS Predicted 159)
2. NASA MPS---------------114 (MOAS predicted 108)
3.INDEPENDENTS-----------13 (MOAS predicted 23)
TOTAL==========290
WOMEN REPS :
1.JUBILEE WOMEN REPS-----------31 (MOAS predicted 25)
2. NASA WOMEN REPS---------------16 (MOAS predicted 21)
TOTAL========47

Going by these figures - Jubilee will nominate 8-7 - so out of 350Mps - Jubilee total will be 163+31+7=201Mps - with Duale as Majority leader having the easiest of task.

Offline Omollo

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Re: MOAS parliamentary prediction versus IEBC official results
« Reply #2 on: August 11, 2017, 12:07:55 PM »
I can finish for you:

President Uhuru Kenyatta - 54% Moas predicted 53 then 52 %
... [the ICC case] will be tried in Europe, where due procedure and expertise prevail.; ... Second-guessing Ocampo and fantasizing ..has obviously become a national pastime.- NattyDread

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: MOAS parliamentary prediction versus IEBC official results
« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2017, 12:09:02 PM »
I will analyze county breakdown of MP so see how MOAS scored at granular level

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: MOAS parliamentary prediction versus IEBC official results
« Reply #4 on: August 11, 2017, 12:10:40 PM »
Of course. MOAS is damn accurate. What we missed again is turn out and this "spoiled votes" now numbering 500K. This time out the turn out projection is better than 2013 - so MOAS has been really close.
Raila we predicted will get 46-47% - thanks to lower turn out - he lost 1%.
I can finish for you:

President Uhuru Kenyatta - 54% Moas predicted 53 then 52 %

Offline Omollo

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Re: MOAS parliamentary prediction versus IEBC official results
« Reply #5 on: August 11, 2017, 12:14:59 PM »
I have a bad feeling you were part of the hacking group. I will double my efforts to determine your role in this so you get your share of the retribution when the time comes.

Now you are pouring your propaganda here as if there were any elections.

Wait the next few hours to see how Kenyans will celebrate. For if indeed Uhuru scored 9 million votes, there will be no dissent.

You really think we are Mogotio goats.

Carry on I won't interfere with your gloating over the fraudulent charade. I choose to remain quiet lest I say more than I should.

Of course. MOAS is damn accurate. What we missed again is turn out and this "spoiled votes" now numbering 500K. This time out the turn out projection is better than 2013 - so MOAS has been really close.
Raila we predicted will get 46-47% - thanks to lower turn out - he lost 1%.
I can finish for you:

President Uhuru Kenyatta - 54% Moas predicted 53 then 52 %
... [the ICC case] will be tried in Europe, where due procedure and expertise prevail.; ... Second-guessing Ocampo and fantasizing ..has obviously become a national pastime.- NattyDread

Offline Globalcitizen12

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Re: MOAS parliamentary prediction versus IEBC official results
« Reply #6 on: August 11, 2017, 12:15:39 PM »
They rigged 4% that is clear.. MOAS was correct it is the rigging that changed the outcome

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: MOAS parliamentary prediction versus IEBC official results
« Reply #7 on: August 11, 2017, 12:19:05 PM »
You're angry. And you anger is misplaced. I remain innocent by-stander. You need to direct your anger on one William Samoei Ruto who worked day and night for the last 5yrs and just fried Raila bila huruma. I am just a dispassionate pundit. I have been doing this every election and referendum. And will continue doing this.
I have a bad feeling you were part of the hacking group. I will double my efforts to determine your role in this so you get your share of the retribution when the time comes.

Now you are pouring your propaganda here as if there were any elections.

Wait the next few hours to see how Kenyans will celebrate. For if indeed Uhuru scored 9 million votes, there will be no dissent.

You really think we are Mogotio goats.

Carry on I won't interfere with your gloating over the fraudulent charade. I choose to remain quiet lest I say more than I should.

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: MOAS parliamentary prediction versus IEBC official results
« Reply #8 on: August 11, 2017, 12:21:26 PM »
I think apart from Gusii (Kisii+Nyamira) - MOAS was right on money - and of course I think my turn out is slighly higher than real turnout - is looking close to 84-85% - against MOAS 86-87%.
They rigged 4% that is clear.. MOAS was correct it is the rigging that changed the outcome

Offline Globalcitizen12

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Re: MOAS parliamentary prediction versus IEBC official results
« Reply #9 on: August 11, 2017, 12:22:32 PM »
Omollo,
Calm down my brother. be divorced from emotions this game requires you to tone down emotions and to know that the sun will rise tomorrow

Offline Globalcitizen12

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Re: MOAS parliamentary prediction versus IEBC official results
« Reply #10 on: August 11, 2017, 12:24:58 PM »
I think apart from Gusii (Kisii+Nyamira) - MOAS was right on money - and of course I think my turn out is slighly higher than real turnout - is looking close to 84-85% - against MOAS 86-87%.
They rigged 4% that is clear.. MOAS was correct it is the rigging that changed the outcome

I will look at the number once IEBC gives us access to real compilation. Kalonzo Sabotaged Raila openly in Uhuru park by issuing unnecessary inflammatory statements.. My buddy who was working for NASA in central told me that he lost 5% from people because of that.. I know several voters who were not going to vote but decided to go vote against Kalonzo sentiments