interesting albeit flawed poll on governor race...

[RV Pundit]

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The sample size is too small  and they got it wrong in nomination....but it closer to the truth in my view.
https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2017/05/20/sonko-waiguru-waititu-sang-with-unassailable-leads-for-governors_c1564420

[Globalcitizen12]

Let me just say that due to "coalition" politics and the fact that Jubilee has credibility issues party affiliation is an advantage but not a guaranteed win. Where the race for nomination was tight or based on Euphoria the candidates nominated may lose
 . Right now I think some of the nominated JP candidates such as Waititu, Sonko and Waiguru peaked to early.. The Euphoria that helped them defeat the status quo has dissipated. In case of Waititu his trick of labeling Kabogo as arrogant (which he is) worked but now voters are looking for him to provide substance. They are challenging him to show them a record they can use to gauge him on. His performance in Kabete especially on CDF and his involvement in Nairobi city contracts wars is making a lot of voters uneasy with him.
Uhuru needs independent candidates to drive up turnout more than independent candidates need him. 

[RV Pundit]

That is just the usual buyer's remorse. I think most Jubilee nominee will win. The elections were credible. ODM is different kettle fish. Kisumu & Busia & Taveta for example - I think they lose those - and possibly even homabay.

Let me just say that due to "coalition" politics and the fact that Jubilee has credibility issues party affiliation is an advantage but not a guaranteed win. Where the race for nomination was tight or based on Euphoria the candidates nominated may lose
 . Right now I think some of the nominated JP candidates such as Waititu, Sonko and Waiguru peaked to early.. The Euphoria that helped them defeat the status quo has dissipated. In case of Waititu his trick of labeling Kabogo as arrogant (which he is) worked but now voters are looking for him to provide substance. They are challenging him to show them a record they can use to gauge him on. His performance in Kabete especially on CDF and his involvement in Nairobi city contracts wars is making a lot of voters uneasy with him.
Uhuru needs independent candidates to drive up turnout more than independent candidates need him. 

[Omollo]

How did I miss this wonderful joke.

Let me add mine: I think Uhuru will lose Tharaka-Nithi, Meru and may well not get Murang'a.

The momentum is NASA's to lose. Most of the serious defections and re-defections are heading towards NASA.

Yesterday when IEBC released a printout of what parties are legally supposed to enter based on their AGM's and Kalonzo's name appeared, Jubilee fellas couldn't stop running and continuous multiple orgasms. One guy bought ten bears or a bottle of whisky for everyone who was in the bar. I got several bottles of water. I thought of explaining but realizing I would end up with an enemy and lose massive intelligence, kept my cool.

I was among those who prevailed on Kalonzo's assistants to delay a rebuttal so we Jubilee could show its hand.

Messages were sent to Chiloba to get a clarification. It was not useful so the old IEBC thieves came on board to say the things that could be done to force that choice and keep kalonzo on the ballot alongside Raila. Desperation is baaad!

Our arrangement is same as CORD  2013; NASA isn't a registered party, I will deputize Raila who'll vie through ODM.~ Kalonzo #NASAFlagbearer pic.twitter.com/C0nIQGczqV

— Mac Otani 🇰🇪 (@MacOtani) May 21, 2017

I don’t have to join @TheODMparty for me to deputize @RailaOdinga; that isn't applicable here. #NASAFlagbearer pic.twitter.com/HnsIKfjGXz

— Mac Otani 🇰🇪 (@MacOtani) May 21, 2017

That is just the usual buyer's remorse. I think most Jubilee nominee will win. The elections were credible. ODM is different kettle fish. Kisumu & Busia & Taveta for example - I think they lose those - and possibly even homabay.

[Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants]

Why is the hustler campaigning for Sonko?  Doesn't he have fires to put out in his backyard?

[Nefertiti]

A few surprises...

Bomet Isaac Ruto does relatively well at 44% vs Laboso 56%. I expected a rout since he joined NASA. Seems if he stuck to supporting Uhuru he would stand a chance.

Machakos Mutua 54% to Wavinya 40% is narrow lead considering the Chap Chap euphoria. Seems he is not as strong as I thought. It doesn't look like Wiper/Kalonzo has lost Ukambani - Kivutha and Malombe are comfortably leading.

Bungoma Ken Lusaka is beating NASA at 47% vs 33% Wangamati! What does Omollo have to say?

[gout]

Hahah Uhuru lose Murang'a?? What can happen in the strongholds is a handful guys walking out after electing say MCA or MP or Governor if they are pissed off with Uhuru or Raila but vote for the opponent is highly unlikely. The other handful which is seriously pissed off may not show up. These two scenario will be 'solved' through ballot stuffing. I think the party agents will be very methodical given the polling station clerks are locals and part of strongholds. 

The possibility of a strong party likely named Independent Party in Central post 2017 is real. I won't be surprised that an enterprising Kenyan has registered it.