Author Topic: Galana 10,000 model farm  (Read 2404 times)

Offline RV Pundit

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Galana 10,000 model farm
« on: September 01, 2016, 08:36:43 AM »
http://www.skyscrapercity.com/showthread.php?t=1747540

Offline RVtitem

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Re: Galana 10,000 model farm
« Reply #1 on: September 01, 2016, 10:16:04 AM »
This 10,000 is way to high for experimental work. They just needed a representative sample.

Even poll companies do not need to go around collecting views from all population but only need a small, but representative sample to gauge the status of a whole with a decent level of confidence.

This project seems to have been conceived mainly for corruption and food insecurity is secondary.

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Galana 10,000 model farm
« Reply #2 on: September 01, 2016, 10:25:52 AM »
10K acres when the target is 1M acres is a representative sample.
This 10,000 is way to high for experimental work. They just needed a representative sample.

Even poll companies do not need to go around collecting views from all population but only need a small, but representative sample to gauge the status of a whole with a decent level of confidence.

This project seems to have been conceived mainly for corruption and food insecurity is secondary.

Offline RVtitem

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Re: Galana 10,000 model farm
« Reply #3 on: September 01, 2016, 11:09:56 AM »
you are right, 1m acres with 95% level of confidence and 1% error margin gives around 10k acres. And 99% LOC with 1% MOE gives around 16k acres.

https://www.checkmarket.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/estimate_population_survey_sample.gif


Hopefully this will not kill Rift valley farming.

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Galana 10,000 model farm
« Reply #4 on: September 01, 2016, 12:31:32 PM »
RV farming need to form for higher value chains stuff - dairy, horticulture, floriculture and such kind of farmings -is where a small holder can really add value - maize, wheat, beans and sugar cane should be -+-
grown in large scale.
you are right, 1m acres with 95% level of confidence and 1% error margin gives around 10k acres. And 99% LOC with 1% MOE gives around 16k acres.

https://www.checkmarket.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/estimate_population_survey_sample.gif


Hopefully this will not kill Rift valley farming.


Offline hk

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Re: Galana 10,000 model farm
« Reply #6 on: September 01, 2016, 01:19:02 PM »
RV farming need to form for higher value chains stuff - dairy, horticulture, floriculture and such kind of farmings -is where a small holder can really add value - maize, wheat, beans and sugar cane should be -+-
grown in large scale.
you are right, 1m acres with 95% level of confidence and 1% error margin gives around 10k acres. And 99% LOC with 1% MOE gives around 16k acres.

https://www.checkmarket.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/estimate_population_survey_sample.gif


Hopefully this will not kill Rift valley farming.
I agree. The small holders need to shift to the suggest sectors. Its not economically viable to grow maize on less than 5 acres . More to it I think NCPB need to be disbanded or to only concentrate on strategic reserve for cereals. NCPB keeps the price of maize artificially high so farmers havent had the incentive to improve productivity.