My prediction for 27th by-election

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

You got a few wrong but BIG 2 right.

Big winner is Kindiki.
Big loser is RiggyG.

I am not sure Natembeya is TKOed with Kabuchai win. He seems to be getting Bukusu.
Natemnbeya can also cry look GoK used violence in Malava.
RiggyG has no such execuse.

Opposition are back to square zero. Unless things change - like another GenZ uprising - 2027 is gone with Ruto.

Big winners.
1) Kindiki

Big Losers
1) Natembeya - TKOed.
2) Gachagua

As a UDA insider, I can tell you the UDA made a calculated decision not to invest resources in MCA seats and focus on MPs. If they had invested the same energy and resources like they did in Malava, Banisa, and Mbeere, most of those MCA seats would have gone to UDA. UDA is simply a strong party. ODM is a distant second, and with the death of Raila, most non-Luo zones will automatically shift to UDA. I'm talking about Turkana, Coast, North Eastern, and parts of Western. Mlima will stay 60% opposition and about 40% UDA and that is a big win for UDA going forward.

[Modesty Blaise]

You got a few wrong but BIG 2 right.

Big winner is Kindiki.
Big loser is RiggyG.

I am not sure Natembeya is TKOed with Kabuchai win. He seems to be getting Bukusu.
Natemnbeya can also cry look GoK used violence in Malava.
RiggyG has no such execuse.

Opposition are back to square zero. Unless things change - like another GenZ uprising - 2027 is gone with Ruto.

As a UDA insider, I can tell you the UDA made a calculated decision not to invest resources in MCA seats and focus on MPs. If they had invested the same energy and resources like they did in Malava, Banisa, and Mbeere, most of those MCA seats would have gone to UDA. UDA is simply a strong party. ODM is a distant second, and with the death of Raila, most non-Luo zones will automatically shift to UDA. I'm talking about Turkana, Coast, North Eastern, and parts of Western. Mlima will stay 60% opposition and about 40% UDA and that is a big win for UDA going forward.

of course that "strength" is just a disapportioning of state resources. Nothing worth bragging about.

Losing Mt Kenya East and Luhya is very bad for opposition.They needed to win both and stay united to stand a chance.

Kenya is on autopilot now unless something very major happens.

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

These are the things that win elections. In 2027 Ruto will be unassailable. Kenya is a construction site with 1 million people working daily building affordable homes, roads, markets, etc. Those that see vote that is why UDA is winning elections. Actions speak louder than words and people express it at the ballot box! Read the live coments. Kenyans are praying for Ruto and have placed all their hopes on him. As someone who grew up with him in the household, I can tell you he is legit and will change Kenya for the better
https://www.facebook.com/williamsamoei/videos/857954866596742

[Modesty Blaise]

Okay mister,
Team Ruto 💪💪

[RV Pundit]

My post mertem.
Good score of 70%.
I missed big one in Kapisul
And missed few MCA seats.
But I was able to predict 1st and 2nd in all of them
https://x.com/Bygones_24/status/1995751585922625742