You guys are not factoring genz, the majority of voters in Kenya. This group hates Ruto with a passion and this is Kenyanwide, whoever catches fire with this group is the next president in Kenya. If I have to swallow my pride and go tribal, the Mt Kenya division by Ruto seems to have backfired, Majority of Merus do not seem to care for Kindiki so that constituency remains intact. The other thing is that Ruto has managed to do the impossible, unite Mt Kenya with Kambas and Kisiis, it’s actually a surprising turn of events. It’s also very predictable just like death that Raila will run in 2027, he is very busy sucking Ruto’s money and building a war chest so his ODM base will mostly stay intact. If you look at all these, the route for Ruto winning 2027 is very murky, he will be at best a kingmaker and negotiate to stay out of jail and keep his wealth, that can be promised but not guaranteed. I see a second round between Kalonzo and Raila, in this contest, looking at the numbers, Kalonzo wins by a very slight margin.