There will always be group which will go opposite direction.
Ruto at best should aim for 50-70% of Luhyas from 30-40% it got last year.
These young guys hapa are looking to be paid by highest bidder
For Ruto - he needs to write off huge chunk of Mt kenya - he got 70% - but he should work with 20-30%.
He definitely should prepare to shift running mate - if Mt kenya dont deliver 50% -- he can as well promote MaDVD to be Deputy President and heir apparent in 2032. This "may" excite Luhyas to vote him 70-80%.
He can promote Kindiki to be Prime Minister - or Jaluo if Raila plays ball.
The deficit will have to come from Luhyas, Coast, NEP and matusa tribes.
He should be careful with Luos - because those are at Raila pocket