1) Ruto loses international community.
2) He completely loses Mt Kenya support.
3) He loses national support.
4) He loses the youth vote who are the Majority.
5) He loses the Church.
6) He looses the Judiciary & Civil Society.
7) Mudavadi wil abandon him
He looses Media and Social Media.
9) In light of the above,Raila will rethink of his decision to associate with him.
Politically speaking,Ruto only has Rift valley and we now have three alliances 1) Rigathi Kalonzo 2) Ruto/Mudavadi 3) Raila.Based on the political realities of the moment,Ruto will be Number 3 in the first round.
Ruto managing to get even 25% in 24 counties is technically IMPOSSIBLE.
Remember Mt Kenya/Azimio (Kamba/luo/Kisii) constitute over 70% of Nairobi vote,60% Nakuru,60% in Mombasa,40% In Eldoret 70% in Machakos.That means as long as Raila,Kalonzo and Gachagua are against Ruto,Their supporters can rally massive protests against him.This is why the intensity of the protests decreased today because Rigathi told people to cool down.
The next battle is IEBC.
Topic: ROUND 1 Ruto Vs Gachagua. (Read 968 times)