Coast shifting to UDA from dying odm

[RV Pundit]

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Just a few holdouts but pretty much over in most marginal areas who have
shifted to gov.

Big blow to Azimio as all the Taita Taveta MPs declined to participate in the anti-government protests and asked for forgiveness  from President William Ruto. pic.twitter.com/UXUtZXhSMC

— KTN News (@KTNNewsKE) July 23, 2023

?s=19

[Njuri Ncheke]

Just a few holdouts but pretty much over in most marginal areas who have
shifted to gov.

Big blow to Azimio as all the Taita Taveta MPs declined to participate in the anti-government protests and asked for forgiveness  from President William Ruto. pic.twitter.com/UXUtZXhSMC

— KTN News (@KTNNewsKE) July 23, 2023

?s=19

Genius Pundit i bet this means GEMA will be replaced in 27.

[RV Pundit]

No but Ruto is keen to keep gema but more national support the more you won't intimidate him.You mission is to hold him on hostage so you can milk him dry

[Nowayhaha]

Im from Coast . Taitas hate tor GEMA shifted to Ruto just like the Kambas . 2022 was a wake up call for me with Digos and Taitas . RV Pundit is still on alice the wonderland.

[RV Pundit]

People change. Coast are very happy with Ruto returning port of Mombasa to them - from Naivasha. Taita Taveta are coming back. These people are orphaned by ODM and Raila imminent fall - and are on their own.And Ruto has fixed Giriam - Speaker of Senate and Minister - Plus Digo-Duruma has minister - governor is UDA.Mungatana are in UDA from Tana river.

Coast is wrap. Raila inherited them from KANU in 2002 - Ruto is taking them back.The rest of KANU small tribes are coming home - in Maa - only Ledama is last hold out.

In short - Ruto right now can easily get Moi's 40% without any GEMA vote.

So hapo he will only need 10%. That is why you cannot intimidate or hold him hostage. You're very replaceable.

Im from Coast . Taitas hate tor GEMA shifted to Ruto just like the Kambas . 2022 was a wake up call for me with Digos and Taitas . RV Pundit is still on alice the wonderland.

[Nowayhaha]

Im very realistic in my approach on politics. It will take years to decouple coast from Raila.
I said the same of GEMA on Railas hate in 2022 and I was proven correct. The likes of Mami and Robina had to resign from Nipate.
Even the votes Ruto got from Mombasa were majority GEMA and the voter apathy after Raila handshaked Uhuru and the Swahili and Mijikenda realizing tumecheswa. If voters turn out was similar to 2017 . Ruto would have gotten more or less same percentage as Uhuru had gotten in Mombasa 2017.
There seems to be a referendum in 2 years time . You will see the outcome. But then again. You tribal alignment has made you become the proverbial ostrich .
As days go by the more you sound like Robina . I can bet you will soon run away from Nipate.

People change. Coast are very happy with Ruto returning port of Mombasa to them - from Naivasha. Taita Taveta are coming back. These people are orphaned by ODM and Raila imminent fall - and are on their own.And Ruto has fixed Giriam - Speaker of Senate and Minister - Plus Digo-Duruma has minister - governor is UDA.Mungatana are in UDA from Tana river.

Coast is wrap. Raila inherited them from KANU in 2002 - Ruto is taking them back.The rest of KANU small tribes are coming home - in Maa - only Ledama is last hold out.

In short - Ruto right now can easily get Moi's 40% without any GEMA vote.

So hapo he will only need 10%. That is why you cannot intimidate or hold him hostage. You're very replaceable.

Im from Coast . Taitas hate tor GEMA shifted to Ruto just like the Kambas . 2022 was a wake up call for me with Digos and Taitas . RV Pundit is still on alice the wonderland.

[RV Pundit]

Nowayhaha you will never wash my political analysis shoes.Only Charles can.Him and I know siasa inside out. Charles beat me by predicting close calls but we both predicted Ruto win.Coast are done with odm..zero demos...Ruto has maybe 5 more leaders to convert n he will done.Ruto is tireless relentless man. I know you want Ruto to do what gema political players do..
Ruto is moi in politics..mboya in others. I pity any fool running against Ruto...Ruto is a very complex character...I wish you knew half the intrigues he used to finish kikuyu upcoming leaders n threats like Martha  n Peter Kenneth.Ruto is a Moi..a political chess master. You may discover inside Azimio are his people. Don't play Ajua kama jaluo jinga....you're playing with orkoiyot like the great koitakel Samoei...whose skull.is somewhere in London.. a great military strategist. Ruto runs a complex operation ..I pity opposition. Ruto has intelligence on his best friends. Ruto right now is likely planning 2032...you're worried about 2027.i won't even bother with MOAS of 2027..what for

[RV Pundit]

Unlike Kibaki and Uhuru - Ruto is keen to win over the coast from ODM destructive politics

Highlights of President William Ruto’s Coast region development tour:

1. President William Ruto to begin a five-day working tour of the Coast region on July 27th, 2023 covering Lamu, Kilifi, Mombasa, Kwale & Tana River Counties.

2. Focus on inaugurating, commissioning, and… pic.twitter.com/fcfaR0d3Oi

— Hussein Mohamed, MBS. (@HusseinMohamedg) July 26, 2023

[Kadudu]

Wish the man good luck.

Unlike Kibaki and Uhuru - Ruto is keen to win over the coast from ODM destructive politics

[RV Pundit]

Ruto works very hard. He doesnt need good luck. He makes it happen.

Wish the man good luck.

[Nowayhaha]

Unlike Kibaki and Uhuru - Ruto is keen to win over the coast from ODM destructive politics

Highlights of President William Ruto’s Coast region development tour:

1. President William Ruto to begin a five-day working tour of the Coast region on July 27th, 2023 covering Lamu, Kilifi, Mombasa, Kwale & Tana River Counties.

2. Focus on inaugurating, commissioning, and… pic.twitter.com/fcfaR0d3Oi

— Hussein Mohamed, MBS. (@HusseinMohamedg) July 26, 2023

[RV Pundit]

Coast used to belong to KANU/Moi - except pockets of Mombasa which are comspolitan.
In 2002 with Uhuru selection to fly KANU - coast become angry - not only was Ngala overlooked but a Kenyatta who was responsible for their land troubles was picked.
Raila quickly shifted to Majimbo  - attracting Coast and Rift valley in 2007.
Coast therefore has belong to Raila since circa 2005.
Militant side of coast were with Raila - the other part are any gov in power.
Ruto is keen to inherit the Raila side and of course the any gov in power.

I think he will do it - next election Ruto will carry coast completely.

[Kadudu]

Noway, apart from Kiambu and some parts of RV, where did Kibaki not win in 2002? In 2007, Kibaki was floored by Raila even in Mombasa. that 50:50 claim from you is a dream. Raila has never lost an election in Mombasa unless you are mistaking Lamu with Mombasa.

[RV Pundit]

You mean post 2007 - Raila has been coast king. Prior to that Moi controlled Coast until 2002 - with Ngala seen as heir apparent - and Moi had backing of Asian tycoons.

Noway, apart from Kiambu and some parts of RV, where did Kibaki not win in 2002? In 2007, Kibaki was floored by Raila even in Mombasa. that 50:50 claim from you is a dream. Raila has never lost an election in Mombasa unless you are mistaking Lamu with Mombasa.

[Nowayhaha]

Ngala lost in Mp elections meaning he was not a factor.
If Kenyatta was the problem how come Ruto performed dismally in 2022 elections . If it was simply because of Uhuru then Uhuru indeed supported Raila so Ruto should have bagged Coast.
One thing you are refusing to acknowledge is that The Coast having supported Raila for more than 2 decades they have endeared themselves to Raila . Raila hardly campaigned in Coast and he carried the day  . To decouple Coast from Raila will be a longshot .
Ruto being no enemy of Raila Coast have embraced that hatred against Ruto.
Ruto needs to learn from Uhurus mistake , you cannot expect to get support by buying a few politicians . Safeguard whatever you have and hope to gain a little here and there Not abandon what you have and go for whatever is not yours .

Coast used to belong to KANU/Moi - except pockets of Mombasa which are comspolitan.
In 2002 with Uhuru selection to fly KANU - coast become angry - not only was Ngala overlooked but a Kenyatta who was responsible for their land troubles was picked.
Raila quickly shifted to Majimbo  - attracting Coast and Rift valley in 2007.
Coast therefore has belong to Raila since circa 2005.
Militant side of coast were with Raila - the other part are any gov in power.
Ruto is keen to inherit the Raila side and of course the any gov in power.

I think he will do it - next election Ruto will carry coast completely.

[Nowayhaha]

Another Myth which has made Raila lose 2013, 2017 and 2022 elections.
Kibaki beat Raila in everywhere else apart from some parts of Rift valley and Luo Nyanza .
I have the figures here will post in a few.

Noway, apart from Kiambu and some parts of RV, where did Kibaki not win in 2002? In 2007, Kibaki was floored by Raila even in Mombasa. that 50:50 claim from you is a dream. Raila has never lost an election in Mombasa unless you are mistaking Lamu with Mombasa.

[Kadudu]

 
Even my diehard Mt Kenya friends admit today Kibaki stole that election. Leave that discussion because it is not a discussion anymore.

Historians will judge Kibaki very harshly. He got the economics right, but failed politically. Kenya would not be in the political and economic dietribes it is today had the man accepted to go home in 2007. Kibaki laid ground the UhuRuto regime that has brought the country to its knees today. Now we have the other part of the UhuRuto regime trying to take us out of the mess it created in the first place.

Another Myth which has made Raila lose 2013, 2017 and 2022 elections.
Kibaki beat Raila in everywhere else apart from some parts of Rift valley and Luo Nyanza .
I have the figures here will post in a few.