QUESTIONS:
(1) GEMA VOTE: The turnout will be lower than 2013 and 2017 while the Kikuyu vote will be divided 50:50 or 60:40.That means he starts at a lesser advantage than Uhuru in previous elections.
(2) Bribing of IEBC officials, Party Agents and Police:Friends,Remember the Kriegler reports documented how the election officials were bribed in the 2007 elections and we had over 100% voter turnout in some regions. How will Ruto ensure that he has the confidence and integrity of all agents, police and iebc workers in over 40,000 polling stations?
(3) What if senior government officials sabotage voter turnout in Ruto strongholds through late delivery of voting materials,Jammed election kits? How will he manage voter suppression tactics?
(4) Who controls Kenya ICT authority? Who controls safaricom?Airtel? Who controls M-pesa? Does Ruto have control over these phone networks? What if the internet is jammed and M-pesa is delayed? How will he communicate with his agents and pay them? What will be his mode of payment?
(5) Does Ruto control the Police,Military and Intelligence? let us remember that from 1982-2002,Moi has Kalenjin's everywhere in the security docket but Ruto doesn't have that advantage now.Kibaki was a president on paper, just like Ruto is just a DP on paper.
(6) Election Violence.Kalenjins need Kikuyu and luhya votes to the last man.That's the only other place they hope to get votes other than the rift valley.Therefore,Ruto wouldn't want anything to do with violence or mass action in towns 100% because he would shrink from 40% to 20%.
(7) MEDIA: Once all these factors come into place and internet is jammed.The media which is controlled by Moi (Standard/Star) Kenyatta (NMG and Media Max) Macharia (Royal Media) and the small media houses are bribed. Ruto can't control the narrative being fed to the public and Raila will be announce president.
(8 ) After Ruto's defeat, His foot soldiers like Waiguru,Murkomen,Wetangula,Duale,Mandago and the rest will face criminal prosecution and they will switch to Azimio over Kamiti and switch allegiance.
We can therefore conclude that Dr.Ruto will loose the 2022 elections.
IRREVERSIBLE GUARANTEE.