Weak AZIMIO petition destroyed easily using publicly available information.

[RV Pundit]

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That is before even respondent responses.

One thing is clearly - this was badly done petition written by a committe of lawyers - scrapping for anything

[RV Pundit]

[RV Pundit]

Example 2
This is the only thing which seemed like a smoking gun in Azimio's petition but the data has since been debunked.
Azimio even makes a simple error of subtraction where their purported variance is given as 23,550 instead of 23,717. The actual variance was just 900 votes.
The actual presidential votes for Nyeri were 329,151 (inclusive of rejected ballots."

[RV Pundit]

Example 3
Azimio claims in their petition that the presidential votes for Kirinyaga county were 260,900 compared with those of gubernatorial race which they say were 237,183. They claim the difference is a manifestation of fraud.
Apparently, these are the results for Kirinyaga gubernatorial race 2022.
"1.Charles Kibiru 22,065
  2. Peter Gitau 10,166
  3. Peter Ireri 2,132
  4. Bedan Kagai 1,751
  5. Comba Ndau 532
  6. Joseph Ndathi 3,837
  7. Purity Wangui 105,677
  8. Anne Waiguru 113,088
Total valid votes 259,248
Spoilt 2,575
Total vote cast 261,823"
The total votes cast for president in Kirinyaga county were actually 262,723 leaving a variance of a mere 900 votes. Is this the evidence we are being told to accept without question?

[RV Pundit]

Example 4:

Azimio claims in its petition that the postponement of gubernatorial race in Mombasa and Kakamega suppressed voter turnout in those areas. They also claim that the malfunction of KIEMS kits in Makueni and Kakamega also affected voter turnout in their presumed strongholds.
However, when you look at voter turnout in the zones where these counties fall in, there is no evidence that these events affected voter turnout in any significant way.
In Kakamega, voter turnout was 60.29% while in Vihiga it was 60.13% and in Bungoma it was 63.51%.
In Makueni, voter turnout was 61.01% while in Machakos it was 60.20% and in Kitui it was 62.38%.
Maybe there was impact in Mombasa but voter turnout in most urban counties was generally low. Voter turnout in Mombasa was 43.76% while in Kwale it was 54.3% and in Kilifi it was 49.02%. In Nairobi City, voter turnout was 55.96%.

[RV Pundit]

[RV Pundit]

Example 6:

Why is Azimio insisting on calculating their figures using an erroneous figure? When Chebukati was announcing the voter turnout, he erroneously said the percentage was 65.4%. He later clarified during the same press briefing that the turnout was 64.6% and gave the actual figure of 14,164,561.

[RV Pundit]

Example 7 : Complicity of Azimio four(4) Commissioners


Interestingly one of the four commissioners who disputed the results is the one who read wrong results for Kiambu Town adding Ruto an extra 10,000 votes. Another one read the wrong votes for Juja adding Raila 9,000 votes. Could these have been deliberate attempts to discredit the process or they were innocent errors?
The four claim not to have been involved yet the were reading the verified results throughout the process. There is nowhere they indicated that what they read as verified results was different from what was tallied.
To make matters worse when they addressed the press on Tuesday they did not give reasons why they boycotted the announcement yet were ready to do something that could have set the country aflame.
On Wednesday some of them were still wearing the same clothes they were wearing on Tuesday. I leave that to your interpretation.
The eventual reasons they gave for their boycott were even more absurd. There was nothing to warrant such a drastic move.
Their press conference was synchronised with that of Azimio. You could tell the document Cherera was reading was written by someone else.
How can a commissioner dispute results yet that was the work of the party agents? There is nowhere they were required to sign the form 34C.

[RV Pundit]

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Example 10:

One of the critical things that IEBC has to come clear on is on how they calculate their % turn-out rate 😅....
See this and remember the total registered voters are 22,120,458
1. On 9th August during media briefing, IEBC through Commisioner Jualiana Cherera indicated that as of around 12.00 noon, 6,567,869 people had voted translating to a turn-out rate of 30.65%. However, that number when subjected to the total registered voters translates to 29.69% which is 0.96% less than what the Commissioner reported
2. At around 4.00 p.m. of the same day, IEBC through Commissioner Mr. Francis Wanderi reported that 12,065,803 people had voted and indicated that this translated to 56.17% turn-out. However, that number translates to 54.55% which is 1.62% less than what the Commissioner reported as the % turn-out
3. On 10th August, IEBC Chairman Chebukati reported that the turn-out % was 65.4%, but less than 20 minutes later he corrected himself and said the % turn-out was 64.6% and this translated to 14,164,561. Now, 64.6% isn't equal to the figure he gave, rather it's equal to 14,289,816; while the number of 14,164,561 which was equated to 64.6% in actually equal to 64.03%
🤷???....either IEBC was using a different denominator, and thus needs to explain how and why; or their % turn-out calculation was all wrong 🤔
...seems IEBC would in future would need to have a qualified Statistician as a Commissioner 😅
See below a statement by IEBC on 9th August towards the end of the day

[RV Pundit]

The hacking part

Paul Mwangi and John Mark Githongo:how are you anyone's ADVISORS at all?
Truly dense https://t.co/n1va8j3G8N

— Registrar of Broken Promises&Minister of Sunshine (@EricNgeno) August 23, 2022

[RV Pundit]

Charles Hornsby is doing is part
http://www.charleshornsby.com/kenya-blog