Author Topic: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1  (Read 1053 times)

Online RV Pundit

  • Moderator
  • Enigma
  • *
  • Posts: 37122
  • Reputation: 1074446
4 Embakasi  - with South going to Wiper
Kamukunji - finally Hussein will be retired.
Kasarani
Dago South
Langata
Starehe
Roysambu

UDA - 10

Next is ODM - Mathare, Ruaraka, Westland & Makaradara - 4
Wiper - 1 - Emba South
ODM - Dago North - Elachi kumbe defected to ODM.
Kibera - independent.


Offline Nefertiti

  • Moderator
  • Enigma
  • *
  • Posts: 10883
  • Reputation: 26106
  • Shoo Be Doo Be Doo Oop
Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
« Reply #1 on: June 05, 2022, 02:31:20 AM »
Most of those are TOO CLOSE TO CALL considering 1) the 1-3% margins  2) Mizani unproven track record

Embakasi East - doesn't make sense. Kikuyus voted Muriithi 99% before - Luo + Kamba vote Babu Owino as always. What new?

Kamukunji - so Kikuyus are many enough in Eastleigh to save Robow? Azimio has more Somalis than Jubilee 2017

Kibra - with 1% lead I doubt Imran will survive ODM pressure

Only sensible apart from obvious Mathare, Dago North, Makadara, Embakasi South and Westlands - is Starehe. Simon Mbugua the thief is popular and smooth mashinani operator.
♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels

Offline Nefertiti

  • Moderator
  • Enigma
  • *
  • Posts: 10883
  • Reputation: 26106
  • Shoo Be Doo Be Doo Oop
Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
« Reply #2 on: June 05, 2022, 02:59:03 AM »
Elachi was forced to join ODM cause Dago North was zoned yet she is most popular after Arati left. In Mathare Bahati was left crying after Jubilee withdrew the ticket for ODM.

While Kaloozer was throwing tantrums and reflecting.. Wiper got only 1 MP in Azimio zoning. Plus DG.
♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels

Online RV Pundit

  • Moderator
  • Enigma
  • *
  • Posts: 37122
  • Reputation: 1074446
Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
« Reply #3 on: June 05, 2022, 06:36:30 AM »
Yeah too close to call
What is clear = UDA has replaced Jubilee voting const - thtat is why it taking the old Embakasi
Emba East - Mureithi lost by 2,000 votes to Babu Owino.
Kamukunji- UDA guy is very popular amongst somalis - dont believe the bought leaders - somalis will vote more for Ruto than Raila.
Starehe - Mbugua is taking that - bila kupingwa - pale Mbugua mother use to be second hand clothes queen pin - she had connection to Gideon Moi in the 90s.
Mathare - yeah its flipped - Bahati cried - but he may still recover.
Kibra - If Luhyas go tribal - then Mariga should be competitive - now that Luos have two strong candidates.

In short GEMA have dumped Jubilee and are in UDA.


Most of those are TOO CLOSE TO CALL considering 1) the 1-3% margins  2) Mizani unproven track record

Embakasi East - doesn't make sense. Kikuyus voted Muriithi 99% before - Luo + Kamba vote Babu Owino as always. What new?

Kamukunji - so Kikuyus are many enough in Eastleigh to save Robow? Azimio has more Somalis than Jubilee 2017

Kibra - with 1% lead I doubt Imran will survive ODM pressure

Only sensible apart from obvious Mathare, Dago North, Makadara, Embakasi South and Westlands - is Starehe. Simon Mbugua the thief is popular and smooth mashinani operator.


Offline Githunguri

  • Enigma
  • *
  • Posts: 2439
  • Reputation: 0
  • Raila Odinga.President of the Republic of Kenya.
Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
« Reply #4 on: June 05, 2022, 07:57:39 AM »
UDA 6

Offline Pragmatic

  • Mega superstar
  • *
  • Posts: 404
  • Reputation: 92
Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
« Reply #5 on: June 05, 2022, 09:50:00 AM »
In short GEMA have dumped Jubilee and are in UDA.

Online RV Pundit

  • Moderator
  • Enigma
  • *
  • Posts: 37122
  • Reputation: 1074446
Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
« Reply #6 on: June 05, 2022, 09:59:10 AM »
2013 we heard the same thing -ohoo people will not vote for two ICC indicted person. Ballot box has just tick box. There is no explanation box. So unless you have some empirical data to challenge this - just wait for august - for the shellshacking. The poor majority will make Ruto PORK...because he has identified with them...and that is helping Ruto in Nairobi despite not having the ethnic base. Sonko became a governor coz of it. He will do it in Mombasa coz of it. The poor unsophisticated voters are the best - they dont need a lot - just hope
In short GEMA have dumped Jubilee and are in UDA.

Offline gout

  • VIP
  • Enigma
  • *
  • Posts: 3823
  • Reputation: 1374
Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
« Reply #7 on: June 06, 2022, 11:45:26 AM »
Karua better pray Babu loses. Him and Junet will destroy her after August.

Kweli siasa ni umalaya kama ni Karua anacheka Babu Owino akiongea.
I underestimated the heartbreaks visited by hasla revolution

Offline Nefertiti

  • Moderator
  • Enigma
  • *
  • Posts: 10883
  • Reputation: 26106
  • Shoo Be Doo Be Doo Oop
Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
« Reply #8 on: June 07, 2022, 12:59:28 AM »
Karua better pray Babu loses. Him and Junet will destroy her after August.

Kweli siasa ni umalaya kama ni Karua anacheka Babu Owino akiongea.

You are wrong. Karua is DP but the real partner is Uhuru/Jubilee. There will be no need to "destroy" a powerless VP. She is not Ruto.
♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels

Offline Nowayhaha

  • VIP
  • Enigma
  • *
  • Posts: 6757
  • Reputation: 5000
Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
« Reply #9 on: June 07, 2022, 02:55:25 AM »

Pragma .  Change that to Most Insane GEMA will vote Baba/Azimio.
Raila has been fighting GEMA since 2003, He incited Kenyans against GEMA in 2007.
A child born in 2002 will be 20 years by Aug 10 elections. Their whole lifetime have been seeing Raila fighting GEMA now add to those GEMA people who were 10 years in 2002 . You can see in their whole life time Raila has been antogonizing them . Then you think walapa they are going to vote their one and real enemy ?
Actually it seems you are the insane one if you think GEMA will vote Raila.
Enjoy the false sense of comfort. You will get a shocker come August 9th. Most sane GEMA will vote Baba/Azimio.



In short GEMA have dumped Jubilee and are in UDA.

Offline yulemsee

  • VIP
  • Superstar
  • *
  • Posts: 183
  • Reputation: 102
Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
« Reply #10 on: August 11, 2022, 09:17:28 AM »
Pundit, you sniffed the product, you wrote so much propaganda you ended up believing it

Online RV Pundit

  • Moderator
  • Enigma
  • *
  • Posts: 37122
  • Reputation: 1074446
Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
« Reply #11 on: August 11, 2022, 09:29:37 AM »
Tulia - Mizani were wrong - but loss in Nairobi - are compensated by gains UDA has made in Mt kenya proper.

We will get time to do postmorteum

Pundit, you sniffed the product, you wrote so much propaganda you ended up believing it

Offline audacityofhope

  • VIP
  • Enigma
  • *
  • Posts: 2082
  • Reputation: 5151
Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
« Reply #12 on: August 11, 2022, 03:11:39 PM »
Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10 ... nyef, nyef

Pundit, how can you use "sweep" and one UDA MP in one sentence?   :roll:

Quote
Nairobi CountyBanjamin Gathiru - Embakasi Central (UDA)
Beatrice Elachi - Dagoretti North (ODM)
Dennis Waweru - Dagoretti South (Jubilee)
Yusuf Hassan Abdi- Kamukunji Constituency (Jubilee)
Peter Orero - Kibra Constituency (ODM)
George Aladwa  - Makadara (ODM)
Anthony Oluoch - Mathare (ODM)
Tom Kajwang' - Ruaraka (ODM)
Amos Mwago - Starehe (Jubilee)

https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/realtime/2022-08-10-mp-race-list-of-winners/