Kiambu Jubilee Candidates are hopeless. Thang'wa back on top!

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

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[RV Heavy Hitter!]

[RV Pundit]

I dont see any UDA candidate losing in Mt kenya in county seats.
Maybe 1 mps seat in each const in each county will be lost to Jubilee or Independents.
Something like 10 Jubilee mps from Mt kenya.
Uhuru might get another 10 Mps from Northern Kenya (UDM is very strong), maybe one or two from Gusii/Maa/Taveta.
Overally Uhuru political party will end up with max of 25mps.
More likely about 20mps.

Uhuru was hoping he will use Jubilee as political cover or leverage against Ruto or Raila.
He is very naked
He is Done.

Kalonzo Wiper will probably beat Jubilee to become 3rd party after ODM.

UDA will be a colossus.with at least 180mps.

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

I dont see any UDA candidate losing in Mt kenya in county seats.
Maybe 1 mps seat in each const in each county will be lost to Jubilee or Independents.
Something like 10 Jubilee mps from Mt kenya.
Uhuru might get another 10 Mps from Northern Kenya (UDM is very strong), maybe one or two from Gusii/Maa/Taveta.
Overally Uhuru political party will end up with max of 25mps.
More likely about 20mps.

Uhuru was hoping he will use Jubilee as political cover or leverage against Ruto or Raila.
He is very naked
He is Done.

Kalonzo Wiper will probably beat Jubilee to become 3rd party after ODM.

UDA will be a colossus.with at least 180mps.

You think 10 is possible? I heard Kimani Ngunjiri saying Uhuru will be lucky to get 10 Jubilee Mps in the mountain. I don't know how he came with that conclusion. I suspect he will get more Mps outside central, not in the mountain, especially after travelling to Nyanza to thank the people that wanted him dead in 2017!

[RV Pundit]

10 is maximum.
The prospect he has ---
1) Bahati - Njoki seem to beat Kimani Ngunjiri - who has disappointed with petty difference with Susan Kihika.
2) Kiambu Town - Jude Njomo is well regarded.
3) Gatundu North - Wanjiku Kibe might make it
4) Juja - it dog fight btw Moses Kuria brother Aloise & Koimbiri. They might also have prospect in Githunguri & Gatundu south.
5) Muranga - he might get one
6) Nyeri - Kanini Kega is strong - but Gachagua been on him
7) Kirinyanga they might get one - Kibicho has heavily invested.
8/9) Meru two possible - Mwiti & another.
10) Lamu West - current Mp is strong
...others
11-12) He has one -two strong candidates in Taita Taveta - where he forced Raila to zone out ODM. It wiper/Jubilee/Independent.
12-20) NEP - has total of 17 seat plus 6 in Isiolo/Marsabit - Jubilee is strong - competing against UDM - uhuru might get 1/3- about 8 seats.
21-25) Random seat in Turkana, Gusii, Maa - possible.

Also possible for him to get one in Tharaka and Nyandarua.

So give and take - Uhuru could go home with 25mps at the highest - or about 20mps nationally is more realistic estimate.

Kalonzo I expect will play around there.

Raila might be able to retain his 60Mps - and 10 women reps.

Ruto will close about 180-190 mps - and with Ford-K/ANC/Independent - can easily get 210.

He would only need to make a deal with UDM - to have solid 233mps that can make any change including constitutional.

Wiper, Jubilee, ODM - will struggle to get 120mps.

You think 10 is possible? I heard Kimani Ngunjiri saying Uhuru will be lucky to get 10 Jubilee Mps in the mountain. I don't know how he came with that conclusion. I suspect he will get more Mps outside central, not in the mountain, especially after travelling to Nyanza to thank the people that wanted him dead in 2017!

[gout]

Roysambu Waihenya has the wamamas with the bursary and secondary schools.

[RV Pundit]

Yes that one is tough one in Nairobi - Generali Mwafrika might struggle.

Roysambu Waihenya has the wamamas with the bursary and secondary schools.