Author Topic: The UNDECIDED VOTERS PUZZLE CRACKED.  (Read 1103 times)

Offline RV Pundit

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The UNDECIDED VOTERS PUZZLE CRACKED.
« on: July 13, 2022, 02:36:51 PM »
Never before have we had so many undecided voters by nearly all posters close to an election like this.
By now the undecided would be less than 2-3 percent.
Except in 2010 referendum.
And there in lies the biggest clue.
The meek the weak the poor the hustlers the unwashed are afraid of telling Uhuru he is getting a beating of the century - because he using state resources, mainstream media and name it to RAM IT DOWN THEIR THROAT.
The same scenario played out in 2010 because the majority YES made many of the NOS go underground ( they were meek poor christians fundamentalist listening to their pastors contrary to all the know it all) - except of course in Kalenjin land where Nos were the mainstream.
Biggest surprise was Ukambani. Even I didnt see that.
NO won in Ukambani.


The same scenario is playing out today.


Opinion polls
%


What you noticed is that NOS rose from average of 20% to 32%  - some even had Nos at 17% - nearly doubled to 34%!
The Yes generally stuck around there - scoring 68% from 62%.


Once again prepared to be shocked. In fact with this knowledge - I am going BIG ON RUTO. I am going to BET BIG.

I would hate to get it wrong by more than 1% - Ruto impeding SHOCKING victory.



Offline KenyanPlato

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Re: The UNDECIDED VOTERS PUZZLE CRACKED.
« Reply #1 on: July 13, 2022, 05:35:46 PM »
actually most kikuyus moderates won't vote. take that as a sign central will have the lowest turnout in terms recent history

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: The UNDECIDED VOTERS PUZZLE CRACKED.
« Reply #2 on: July 13, 2022, 06:08:26 PM »
Agree. I am seeing huge drop from 88 to 70 percent.
actually most kikuyus moderates won't vote. take that as a sign central will have the lowest turnout in terms recent history

Offline KenyanPlato

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Re: The UNDECIDED VOTERS PUZZLE CRACKED.
« Reply #3 on: July 13, 2022, 06:24:07 PM »
people are pissed..at ruto and uhuru. in my family no one will vote. that a 100% drop from 2016

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: The UNDECIDED VOTERS PUZZLE CRACKED.
« Reply #4 on: July 13, 2022, 06:28:32 PM »
Ruto amedo? It's Uhuru who brought Kitendawili
people are pissed..at ruto and uhuru. in my family no one will vote. that a 100% drop from 2016

Offline Nowayhaha

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Re: The UNDECIDED VOTERS PUZZLE CRACKED.
« Reply #5 on: July 13, 2022, 06:30:05 PM »
Contradicting himself, yesterday it was all lovey dovey with Uhuru now his family hates Uhuru and loves Raila. Make up your mind.
Azimios Chair is Uhuru

people are pissed..at ruto and uhuru. in my family no one will vote. that a 100% drop from 2016

Offline KenyanPlato

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Re: The UNDECIDED VOTERS PUZZLE CRACKED.
« Reply #6 on: July 13, 2022, 06:51:39 PM »
Ruto amedo? It's Uhuru who brought Kitendawili
people are pissed..at ruto and uhuru. in my family no one will vote. that a 100% drop from 2016

they just realized voting matters less. plus they are convinced that the vote is fixed. Ruto is so corrupt my family won't touch him. Raila they are sympathetic to him but they feel he is too old to do anything meaningful

Offline gout

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Re: The UNDECIDED VOTERS PUZZLE CRACKED.
« Reply #7 on: July 14, 2022, 12:07:58 PM »
Quite plausible. Let us spare the brat,  amalize aende aachane na sisi - we will have a lifetime to stick the middle finger up his orifices.
Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one ~ Thomas Paine

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: The UNDECIDED VOTERS PUZZLE CRACKED.
« Reply #8 on: July 14, 2022, 01:02:12 PM »
Yes I cannot think of any other reason why voters would be shy to tell pollsters. I can only think these are poor hustlers afraid of gov project being pushed.
Quite plausible. Let us spare the brat,  amalize aende aachane na sisi - we will have a lifetime to stick the middle finger up his orifices.