Author Topic: Ruto rise in Nairobi opinion poll  (Read 811 times)

Offline RV Pundit

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Ruto rise in Nairobi opinion poll
« on: July 05, 2022, 07:08:59 AM »
If Ruto close the 20 percent gap in Nairobi then he add 1 percent..moves to 55percent
. Raila 44..Waja&others 1 https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2022-07-05-nairobi-race-tightens-ruto-catches-up/

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Ruto rise in Nairobi opinion poll
« Reply #1 on: July 05, 2022, 07:10:37 AM »
Look like manifesto will give Ruto the momentum to finish the race strong..

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Ruto rise in Nairobi opinion poll
« Reply #2 on: July 05, 2022, 07:33:33 AM »
Sakaja lead extend to 57 percent thanks free degree campaign... people forgot about igathe.Voters are not in mood for projects been pushed down their throats

Offline yulemsee

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Re: Ruto rise in Nairobi opinion poll
« Reply #3 on: July 05, 2022, 12:04:52 PM »
The opinion polls that had Ruto at 25% in Nairobi were a joke, we all know he will range between 40-45% and baba will be at 55-60%. Nairobi is among the easiest counties to estimate others being Luo Nyanza and Kalenjin Rift

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Ruto rise in Nairobi opinion poll
« Reply #4 on: July 05, 2022, 01:43:08 PM »
Nairobi is huge - will potential have close to 2 million cast votes- maybe 11-12%.
10% difference is 1%.
Yes I also think Ruto will do 45 against Raila 10 percent.
In fact it could even go to the wire of 48 versus 52 like last election.
Ruto will lose some kikuyus; But will gain some Luhyas; generally his hustler message will resonate in low urban class.
Who are these undecided - could they be Ruto poor hustlers afraid that pollsters are gov projects;
Raila has been marketed as a gov project...so those saying Wajokay or undecided...could be mostly Ruto folks.
The opinion polls that had Ruto at 25% in Nairobi were a joke, we all know he will range between 40-45% and baba will be at 55-60%. Nairobi is among the easiest counties to estimate others being Luo Nyanza and Kalenjin Rift