Charles Horsnby prediction versus IEBC of 2017

[RV Pundit]

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Overally I think MOAS did slighly better than him

https://www.theelephant.info/features/2017/09/07/forms-and-substance-comparing-predictions-and-results-from-kenyas-general-election/

[RV Pundit]

Interesting - one reason I havent factored is the number of dead votes since 2017 - so apart from lethargy in Mt Kenya - we need to factor that a million dead votes.

Turnout was substantially down on 2013. This was as predicted: the 2013 election had been fought on a new register, which had been only incrementally and partially updated since then, leaving at least a million dead voters still registered, so turnouts were inevitably going to be lower.

Read more at: https://www.theelephant.info/features/2017/09/07/forms-and-substance-comparing-predictions-and-results-from-kenyas-general-election/
The Elephant - Speaking truth to power.

[RV Pundit]

https://www.theelephant.info/features/2017/09/07/forms-and-substance-comparing-predictions-and-results-from-kenyas-general-election/
The Elephant - Speaking truth to power.

[RV Pundit]

https://www.theelephant.info/features/2017/09/07/forms-and-substance-comparing-predictions-and-results-from-kenyas-general-election/
The Elephant - Speaking truth to power.

[KenyanPlato]

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[RV Pundit]

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Turn out historical now at 75 percent nationally with regional differential make huge difference..they need to factor that 1/4 of voter's won't cast it..

[KenyanPlato]

I am talking about the blue one although I think the nairobi numbers are garbage. The turnout will be at 75 nationally. I do not see a lot of people traveling to go vote where they are registered