Baba gambled but failed spectacularly. He put too much effort in mlima then alienated his bases elsewhere his supporters apart from Luos felt totally disenfranchised and alienated. Mzito jumped at this opportunity and reaped greatly, baba now is going round to try and start from scratch he lacks the energy and most importantly time. Too bad expect baba to max out at 15% Kura 22.
Unlike Ruto who learns from previous experience and mutates /progresses , Raila has been stuck with the past , trying to copy what worked for him in the past - Its very easy to figure him out .
Railas Kibaki tosha moment was one out of the ordinary - It worked for him in 2002 -It will never work again - Thought routing for Mt kenya they will call him Njamba again
Raila inheriting KADU(RV ,Coast & Non Bukusu Western ) due to exit of Moi wont be replicated in GEMA - Simply because GEMA are so anti Raila to the bone .