BBI lineup: Raila PORK - Kalonzo VP - PK PM - Mdvd DPM - Matiang'i DPM
GEMA 15% (about 2/3 of 23%)
Luo 10%
Luhya 10% (about 2/3 of 15%)
Nairobi 8% (60% of total)
Kamba 8% (Kalonzo 90% sweep)
Gusii 4% (Matiang'i wave out of 5% total)
Coast 3% (<60% of 5.3% total)
NFD+MATUSA pastoralist 1% (20% of 5% total)
NET 60%
Pundit as you can see BBI lineup is solid NASA + TNA Gusii and Maa, Samburus - we are merely discussing GEMA split. With the huge 1M1V1S windfall it tough luck for Ruto in Mt Kenya. You just need to listen to Kiraitu, Kimemia and Kinyanjuis sentiments- even Nyoro and Kuria are mteja. Nyoro of all people has no issue with BBI but Raila - hehe - he wants the baby but not the mother. Well BBI-PORK is multiple choice - break it to hustlers.
Pwani ngumu - Msambweni split will tell us the breakdown. TIFA suggests 65-35% ODM vs hustler. In Mvurya bedroom - Ruto's biggest fish in Pwani.
Ruto is not watermelon as a tact - it deadlock inside URP. Nyoros are thawing to irrestible BBI - Lonyas and Maa are happy with 35% - Duales are fuming about raw deal. NGOs are seething over ombudsman. Clergy are lost. It a Mexican stand-off - basically Jubilee turmoil has become URP crisis.
Think I just spotted Waititu drumming BBI with Gideon... shhh