Agreed. Recession is more than guaranteed. IMF will be running the show - with lots of painful reforms - including higher taxes.
This is just a forecast, the treasury geniuses had projected 2.6% growth back in august. The final number might be even worse than the current projections. Anyone in business in kenya will tell you things deteriorated from August. A lot of customers are downgrading, businesses selling expensive goods and services or non essentials are in major trouble. The silver lining is businesses reliant on government are collapsing.