Raila space is now occupied by Ruto as Raila retreat to Luo leader. It's back to 1997 for Raila. Ruto is like Moi of 90s now - he has widespread support from Kabilas who don't have a horse. Raila I don't know who he will merge with - because he has burnt bridges with NASA that gave him 45% - he really can only promise max 20 (if you give him say mijikenda and few luhyas). That I think was VEERY VERY STUPID and is responsible for his retreat to Luo leader.
I understand the singular pursuit of GEMA - but surely was it necessary to kick maDVD,Wetangula and Kalonzo
- why not say thank you for your support and let's keep fighting.
Now as we enter 2022 - Raila plan A - Z is for Uhuru/ GEMA to support him.
But GEMA do not want the guy
- well don't lose hope - maybe Uhuru will rail-road GEMA as he retires to vote Raila.
You have been saying Raila only has luo votes for the longest. Thats what tribal coalition is all about. All Raila needs is the Luo vote and then he finds some people with other tribal or regional votes and then they put it together to form a political coalition. RAO does not need other tribes to love him, he just need them to vote their interests. BBI will be a very easy sell. Watch this space.