I think if gov was to seriously expand infrastructure...the high end market in Kenya will be in trouble....because few kilometers from Kitusuru are huge kiambu coffee farms worth nothing. The problem with Kenya property is infrastructure and level of planning enforcement (sort of a premium if you know your house won't be a slum soon) is lacking.
So there will be huge depreciation in the high end - and huge appreciation in lower end - rural places now have electricity and tarmac - and prices are starting to compete with Nairobi metro.
And that is when we have 20K km paved road..with water, sewage, electricity and all basic infrastructure.
If we move to 60Kms of paved roads ...the overpriced properties in major cities will see huge correction...while places that are so remote...will start appealing to all.
With 2M dollars...you can buy yourself a whole ranch in Kajiado...or Kiambu..and have enough to build a bigger hacienda..and with all new roads in the pipeline...you'll be in Nairobi in few minutes.
So the problem with Africa overpriced real estates is really lack of basic infrastructure...if we had metros, light speed rails, super-highways, expressways - why would you buy such an ugly house fo 1m dollars..in a country where average income is about 300 dollars or less.
Ati the two houses are worth $2m. Clearly most of high end property in kenya is overvalued. The current economic meltdown first casualty is real estate. The banks are holding collateral of very overvalued assets, NCBA will be lucky to get an offer of 50m for both properties.