There is no rigging hope - maDVD+Weta are working hard to provide the rigging margins. The gap is too big to be bridged by rigging. Everyone knew Kibaki would rig out Raila...because an incumbent cannot lose tight election..you need beat them BLUE.
ODM-K had appointed committee of elders - to come up - with best of candidate. Ntimama, Gumo and host of wazee sat through MOASS scenarios.
Kenya politics is easy. It's a tribal census. It was obvious ODM-K that had won 56 percent against Kibaki 43 percent in 2005 would beat Kibaki like a drum if only they were to united. If they lost Kalonzo - the margin would be something very close - something like 43-45 percent versus 46-48 percent.
And Raila was told - to step down for Kalonzo - who would have won by 56 percent like 2005.
Ruto delivered the presentation in Kenya Club - and explained to Raila that
1) Luo/Railas were not electable - or acceptable to many kenyas -- and
2) Raila was polarizing candidate - and would bring GEMA voting in droves.
Raila and Kajwang wailed. They cried. They shed tears claiming that Luos were kenyan too!
And Raila knew the tie breaker really was going to be Kalenjin and Ruto - and he besieged Ruto at Karen - and had done his ground work while Kalonzo was looking at mirror - and waiting to be crown the most handsome president.
Unfortunately for Raila and Uhuru if he is serious - Raila albatross remain as it were in 2007.
1) Luos Unelectablity- because kenyans fear Luos - their pride and utoto - great fear they will suffocate others. Jaluo Jeuri. Wacha Serikali ikojoea.
2) Raila phobia especially amongst GEMA is deep.
The fear of Kalenjin Moi era return, Kabila mbili and Ruto corruption pale in comparison to Amin Dada Odinga and his marauding gang of Luos taking over people wifes and properties
- Kalenjin can steal or loot but they are very humble and will stick to their own lane - so despite 24 years in power nobody really was tired with Kalenjin as people - just their incompetence.
That fear extend all to way to Uganda and South Sudan. Museveni has spoken about it freely. It's the elephant in the room nobody want to address.
But Luos can learn from Kikuyus - after 2007 beating from all corners of kenya - Kikuyus have totally reformed - became humble and the arrogance is gone - completely. The new kikuyu is a model citizen. Bado kuna tu wajinga kidogo kama Moses Kuria.Only hope for Azimio in winning 2022 elections is rigging.
Fact is No Kenyan General election has been won by Rigging. In 2007 ODM rigged in their strongholds(Nyanza) as demonstrated bit still lost fair and square.
Topic: Rigging in 2022 would be easier than 2007. (Read 1779 times)