Even if Raila wins, Uhuru will be biggest loser

[independent]

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Assuming Raila wins fairly or with state machinery help, Raila will refer to the current constitution and that he Raila is the ultimate power and Uhuru will be on begging side. We know Orengo eventually comes back to the advising team maybe wako will be instrumental on many behind the scene acrobatics but the man who will be upset will be Uhunye. Hio hasira zake will not help him. As soon as Raila grabs power, he will change military comanders same hour and disrupt all Uhuru plans then civil servants etc. within a month ni makasiriko tu.

[RV Pundit]

Of course. He is damned either way. Raila will kick him out the same day and disband AZIMIO nonsense the same day. They did that to Raila in 2002. They told Raila NARC SUMMIT was BS - that president will follow constitution of kenya.

[Nefertiti]

Nope. If Raila wins biggest loser will be Ruto and vv

[RV Pundit]

How would he govern when Ruto will be running parliament - with both speakers - he will rush to do handshake with Ruto - and kick Uhuru to the kerb. Uhuru usefullness ends on Tuesday- 20Mps will not give him any leverage.

Nope. If Raila wins biggest loser will be Ruto and vv

[Nefertiti]

It's called RETIREMENT. The rest is just conjecture and fitina, Uhuru knows best about his interests.

About handshake 3... I don't bet anything against Mdvd's abandoning Ruto in a blink. UDA in victory will be ANC or CCP. In loss will be ODM 2008 full of squabbles.

[RV Pundit]

Ruto will control senate and parliament directly through UDA. Let assume that Raila has won. He would have two options - buy individual mps daily to support gov agenda - COK2010 is a beast that require parliament to approve everything including cabinet.

Now tell me how Raila with say 140mps versus Ruto 210Mps (UDA likely to get 180mps) will govern or appoint gov minister or name it. The same for senate - about 37 senators against 30.

In short Raila winning PORK ni ndoto ya mchaana - governing is almost impossible.

This election will break 57% to 42% - in Pork/MP/Senate.

Even if it's rigged - Ruto would still win.

It's called RETIREMENT. The rest is just conjecture and fitina, Uhuru knows best about his interests.

About handshake 3... I don't bet anything against Mdvd's abandoning Ruto in a blink. UDA in victory will be ANC or CCP. In loss will be ODM 2008 full of squabbles.

[Nefertiti]

Details. How does Uhuru lose?