Yes this why their campaign is very confused. They have run on anti-gema platform for decades but now are pushing for gema interests - and not getting any love from gema - other tribes are seeing this and embracing Ruto.
Ruto at least chose to run an issue based campaign - although he is now spicing up with regional ideas like that from coast. Raila is hamstringed - cant say anything without checking with Uhuru.
The only thing stopping Ruto from overrunning the old dude is the feeling that kikuyu-kalenjin ping-pong is too much.
Ruto has to be careful with choice of running mate - I would go for Kindiki or Muturi.
37% maybe. Kajiado is is not a maa territory anymore]. Laikipia in the making! If Jubilee was able to do 60%, UDA will up by another 5-7% That is why 35-37% for tinga is plausible! Beside, Maasai have no beef with Ruto, the Kalenjin. Maa always run on anti-gema rhetoric like coast, so with No gema president on the bout to act as a boogeyman is a disaster for you guys! Besides, Maa takes being cut very dear to them!