Author Topic: Mutahi Ngunyi tells Raila hakuna deep state - JIPANGE NANI  (Read 1675 times)

Offline RV Pundit

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Mutahi Ngunyi tells Raila hakuna deep state - JIPANGE NANI
« on: March 29, 2022, 01:46:19 PM »
Project  Junior Consultant Mutahi drops Raila...tells him to go back to OLD DEPENDABLE NASA :) shida ameivunja :)


Offline Nowayhaha

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Re: Mutahi Ngunyi tells Raila hakuna deep state - JIPANGE NANI
« Reply #1 on: March 29, 2022, 02:08:37 PM »
He is telling Raila , the strategy he is using of luring GEMA is not working. He should use the previous tactic of raising Anti GEMA undertones.
He forgets Raila in the last 4 years has been pushing for BBI unlike in 2005 when he was pushing for Orange side seen as an Anti GEMA interests.
There is no strong GEMA candidate to rally Anti-GEMA aka 41 vs 1 tribal strategy.
He damaged his brand by joining hands with Uhuru a GEMA whom he faught tooth and nail for 10 years.
Lastly Raila fatigue is real . Areas like Coast , Western and Lower Eastern are tired of voting for the same loser for the last 15 years.


Project  Junior Consultant Mutahi drops Raila...tells him to go back to OLD DEPENDABLE NASA :) shida ameivunja :)


Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Mutahi Ngunyi tells Raila hakuna deep state - JIPANGE NANI
« Reply #2 on: March 29, 2022, 02:28:08 PM »
He is back to common sense. Raila path to victory was simple.  In 2005 referendum it was 58.
In 2007 he had 44 percent - he needed 6 percent. In 2013 he had 44 percent - he needed 6 percent. In 2017 he had 44 percent - he needs 6 percent.

The problem has always his failure to consolidate the gains - before hunting for more. It's like a team who scores 5 goals but leaks 7 goals - they will be top scorers - but will NEVER WIN ANYTHING.

2007 - he should have done everything possible to placate Ruto - who the most likely to bolt.

This election - he should have been friendly as much possible to NASA -

He is telling Raila , the strategy he is using of luring GEMA is not working. He should use the previous tactic of raising Anti GEMA undertones.
He forgets Raila in the last 4 years has been pushing for BBI unlike in 2005 when he was pushing for Orange side seen as an Anti GEMA interests.
There is no strong GEMA candidate to rally Anti-GEMA aka 41 vs 1 tribal strategy.
He damaged his brand by joining hands with Uhuru a GEMA whom he faught tooth and nail for 10 years.
Lastly Raila fatigue is real . Areas like Coast , Western and Lower Eastern are tired of voting for the same loser for the last 15 years.


Project  Junior Consultant Mutahi drops Raila...tells him to go back to OLD DEPENDABLE NASA :) shida ameivunja :)


Offline RV Heavy Hitter!

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Re: Mutahi Ngunyi tells Raila hakuna deep state - JIPANGE NANI
« Reply #3 on: March 29, 2022, 02:36:27 PM »
The problem with Raila is that for the first time in Kenya's history there is a stronger, brilliant, and energetic candidate that is clearly running on issues and communicating those issues effectively to the masses. It doesn't matter whether DP was an Orma, Turkana, or Kamba; with his economic message and brilliance, he'd still floor Raila, who by any measure is still stuck on the past analogous way of campaigning and politicking!
The future belongs to those who have a quarter of the character and integrity of RV Heavy Hitter!

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Mutahi Ngunyi tells Raila hakuna deep state - JIPANGE NANI
« Reply #4 on: March 29, 2022, 02:41:55 PM »
Yes after Moi then we got Raila- Kenya have yet to see hard-nosed grassroot mobilizer like Moi until Ruto arrived. Moi use to go deep into villages, knew people by their names, and spent little time in office. He was hard to beat - even when economy was six feet deep - wazungu gave up - all sanctions never reduced Moi popularity. Moi since 1972s with sick Kenyatta became unable to move - Moi simply hit the road daily - making deep connection with rural folks - that saw him stayed in power for 24yrs.

Matiba I hear was great mobilizer - but I was too young to see him.

Raila was aggressive - with big rallies - and is Luo automatons - attending his rallies - and dancing crazy. He was good in propaganda that bordered on DIVIDE & RULE - basically saying something in Coast to incite them on land - you go to Gusii and say something against Land - that is Raila on his element. His strategy of course ended up creating as many enemies as friends - because he would incite Anti-GEMA hate today - and tomorrow he would inciting another group - against another. He was a master of what Mzungu had used against Kenyans - divide & rule tribal baiting.

Now the sleepy jakom has no strategy - he is at mercy of Uhuru - he'd love to go back to his divide and rule - but he's being forced to run on unity platform - neuteured. The chief tribal inciter - is now chief peace marker.

Ruto is new phenomenon in kenya politics. He is a complete politician - gifted orator, extremely rich, energetic, smart and strategic - that is difficult opponent to deal with it.

To quote Charles Hornsby who has studied kenya politics...

There are four important notes to this model though. First, for this election, William Ruto has run an effective grassroots, economy-based campaign, the first true national populist campaign since Matiba in 1992I therefore predict that in this election we shall see some cross-ethnic economic voting.https://www.theelephant.info/op-eds/2022/03/28/predicting-winners-and-losers-in-the-august-2022-poll-the-numbers-game/
The Elephant - Speaking truth to power.


The problem with Raila is that for the first time in Kenya's history there is a stronger, brilliant, and energetic candidate that is clearly running on issues and communicating those issues effectively to the masses. It doesn't matter whether DP was an Orma, Turkana, or Kamba; with his economic message and brilliance, he'd still floor Raila, who by any measure is still stuck on the past analogous way of campaigning and politicking!

Offline GeeMail

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Re: Mutahi Ngunyi tells Raila hakuna deep state - JIPANGE NANI
« Reply #5 on: March 30, 2022, 08:33:29 AM »
Also says:

Religion is another cross-ethnic political theme, stronger than in most previous polls, with Ruto explicitly branding himself as a Christian leader and receiving the support of grassroots religious groups in Christian areas but correspondingly finding it heavy going in Muslim areas of northern Kenya and the Coast.

Read more at: https://www.theelephant.info/op-eds/2022/03/28/predicting-winners-and-losers-in-the-august-2022-poll-the-numbers-game/
The Elephant - Speaking truth to power.

You always brag like Coast is high priest for the taking. Not so.
Celebratory violence: 2017 crime invented to justify killings to prevent Raila from becoming PORK. http://www.nipate.com/download/file.php?id=4244

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Mutahi Ngunyi tells Raila hakuna deep state - JIPANGE NANI
« Reply #6 on: March 30, 2022, 12:02:01 PM »
Muslim in kenya are 10 percent - mostly in NEP (99 percent) - and Mombasa city (Swahilis+Arabs) - elsewhere in coast - majority of mijikenda+taitas+wabaras are christians.  The digos of Kwale are mostly muslims - but rest are mostly christians.

Also says:

Religion is another cross-ethnic political theme, stronger than in most previous polls, with Ruto explicitly branding himself as a Christian leader and receiving the support of grassroots religious groups in Christian areas but correspondingly finding it heavy going in Muslim areas of northern Kenya and the Coast.

Read more at: https://www.theelephant.info/op-eds/2022/03/28/predicting-winners-and-losers-in-the-august-2022-poll-the-numbers-game/
The Elephant - Speaking truth to power.

You always brag like Coast is high priest for the taking. Not so.

Offline Nefertiti

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Re: Mutahi Ngunyi tells Raila hakuna deep state - JIPANGE NANI
« Reply #7 on: March 30, 2022, 08:12:02 PM »
The problem with Raila is that for the first time in Kenya's history there is a stronger, brilliant, and energetic candidate that is clearly running on issues and communicating those issues effectively to the masses. It doesn't matter whether DP was an Orma, Turkana, or Kamba; with his economic message and brilliance, he'd still floor Raila, who by any measure is still stuck on the past analogous way of campaigning and politicking!

Well your genius is at neck-to-neck with old mzee. Ruto DP must be a Kikuyu from Murang'a.. actually, Ruto DP must be from the same county as Raila's.
♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Mutahi Ngunyi tells Raila hakuna deep state - JIPANGE NANI
« Reply #8 on: March 30, 2022, 09:18:50 PM »
Ruto has direct support except for small percentage that madvd n Weta bring..he has much latitude on who to pick as dpork.. he has free hand
.Raila is in impossible situation on squaring circles... kalonzo says it running mate or nothing..gema desperately need running mate..Gideon moi wil withdraw his money.I see even Ngatia has withdrawn his hemas..