And Martha Just Like That Gave away Kirinyaga Governship

[Nowayhaha]

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[RV Heavy Hitter!]

The beautiful Waiguru Mumbi will make mincemeat of Andrea Karua

[Nefertiti]

Watch out for Purity Ngirici.. she's giving Waiguru nightmares

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

Watch out for Purity Ngirici.. she's giving Waiguru nightmares

That is not true, Ngirici lost votes as soon as she drifted out of UDA. Waiguru, as well, was losing until she decided to embrace Ruto politically and physically. She is now the Queen of Kirinyaga and will win hand down. She can also lose big time if she decides to join Kuzimia. In Kirinyaga former Jubilee zones, being close to DP determines your fate! You drift away from Ruto, you drift away from Votes. Ruto is the constant!

[RV Pundit]

Yeah end of day Uda has the majority

[Nefertiti]

That is not true, Ngirici lost votes as soon as she drifted out of UDA. Waiguru, as well, was losing until she decided to embrace Ruto politically and physically. She is now the Queen of Kirinyaga and will win hand down. She can also lose big time if she decides to join Kuzimia. In Kirinyaga former Jubilee zones, being close to DP determines your fate! You drift away from Ruto, you drift away from Votes. Ruto is the constant!

Waiguru is leading but not landslide - she is not as popular as Ruto. Karua needs to tosha Ngirici and go national with Raila. I would expect Karua backers to default to Ngirici.

[RV Pundit]

Right now UDA has many candidates competing for it - so opinion polls will shows 25-30 percent for leading candidates- but come April 16th - equation changes - UDA candidates will begin with unassailable 50 plus one in former Jubilee (now UDA) zones. This is how party wave will carry Waiguru to second term.

You can almost say UDA will win 10 GEMA counties and 7 RV Counties and 5 counties - that is start of 22 or roughly half the counties where UDA/KKK will enjoy 50 percent plus 1 support comes mid April when nomination is settled.

Azimio do not seem to have any nomination plans - and that is their waterloo - because they are likely not agree to file one candidate - Ruto is busy now making sure KK have one candidate - by April 15th when party nomination will end.

Waiguru is leading but not landslide - she is not as popular as Ruto. Karua needs to tosha Ngirici and go national with Raila. I would expect Karua backers to default to Ngirici.

[Nefertiti]

Don't conflate: Azimio vs KK yes are different strategy. KK benefits in MP/governor race - PORK Azimio benefits.

Kirinyaga: everyone and their goat knows Waiguru already has UDA ticket. It why Ngirici fled. This is not Kiambu with several serious competitors in UDA splitting votes.

Waiguru is not that popular.. your own MOAS has Ruto 75%. But even Mizani gives Waiguru meagre 33% vs 27% Karua - Ngirici 20%.

In present 3-horse race Waiguru wins. But IF Karua steps down for Ngirici - with new excuse to prop Raila nationally - Waiguru kwisha.

Right now UDA has many candidates competing for it - so opinion polls will shows 25-30 percent for leading candidates- but come April 16th - equation changes - UDA candidates will begin with unassailable 50 plus one in former Jubilee (now UDA) zones. This is how party wave will carry Waiguru to second term.

You can almost say UDA will win 10 GEMA counties and 7 RV Counties and 5 counties - that is start of 22 or roughly half the counties where UDA/KKK will enjoy 50 percent plus 1 support comes mid April when nomination is settled.

Azimio do not seem to have any nomination plans - and that is their waterloo - because they are likely not agree to file one candidate - Ruto is busy now making sure KK have one candidate - by April 15th when party nomination will end.

[RV Pundit]

Politics doesnt work that way. Come April - UDA supporters will change stance - to support UDA candidates - with their warts and all. That is why good politicians are fighting for  popular party tickets. Story changes to six-piece suit in April. 

UDA has many candidates now even in Kirinyanga. Martha Karua has damaged her bid for governorship by backing Raila. It's better Ngirici has refused and played independent.

It almost given UDA candidates will win by 51 percent PLUS in UDA majority zones.

As for Azimio with gazillion of parties - all cannabilizaing each other -  you just need to ask Kibaki whose PNU got 40Mps - against ODM 105 mps - in parliament of 210.

Don't conflate: Azimio vs KK yes are different strategy. KK benefits in MP/governor race - PORK Azimio benefits.

Kirinyaga: everyone and their goat knows Waiguru already has UDA ticket. It why Ngirici fled. This is not Kiambu with several serious competitors in UDA splitting votes.

Waiguru is not that popular.. your own MOAS has Ruto 75%. But even Mizani gives Waiguru meagre 33% vs 27% Karua - Ngirici 20%.

In present 3-horse race Waiguru wins. But IF Karua steps down for Ngirici - with new excuse to prop Raila nationally - Waiguru kwisha.

[Nefertiti]

Six-piece is not guaranteed. Kina Nderitu Muriithi & Mutua & Ngilus are all over. I expect likes of Kuria, Kiunjuri to beat UDA.

Waiguru vs Ngirici fate depends on Karua next steps.

ODM may get fewer MPs .. but Raila will nick PORK. It deliberate strategy - Raila clocking 80 is not keen to gamble. Ruto can have big party to check Azimio PM Kalonzo in parliament  His track record on party leadership is unimpressive.

Politics doesnt work that way. Come April - UDA supporters will change stance - to support UDA candidates - with their warts and all. That is why good politicians are fighting for  popular party tickets. Story changes to six-piece suit in April. 

UDA has many candidates now even in Kirinyanga. Martha Karua has damaged her bid for governorship by backing Raila. It's better Ngirici has refused and played independent.

It almost given UDA candidates will win by 51 percent PLUS in UDA majority zones.

As for Azimio with gazillion of parties - all cannabilizaing each other -  you just need to ask Kibaki whose PNU got 40Mps - against ODM 105 mps - in parliament of 210.

[RV Pundit]

Those who sneak in are few and far in btw - in places where parties are not strong - due dynamics - but majority went in through their popular parties.

When you get your own MOASS where Raila wins - please share. I would love to see it.

Six-piece is not guaranteed. Kina Nderitu Muriithi & Mutua & Ngilus are all over. I expect likes of Kuria, Kiunjuri to beat UDA.

Waiguru vs Ngirici fate depends on Karua next steps.

ODM may get fewer MPs .. but Raila will nick PORK. It deliberate strategy - Raila clocking 80 is not keen to gamble. Ruto can have big party to check Azimio PM Kalonzo in parliament  His track record on party leadership is unimpressive.