Pundit good news for you ruto still hold command of central

[KenyanPlato]

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He has about 55% support in Central.
 He may end up at 60. So raila goose may be cooked. He needs kalonzo and mudavadi back to his column

[RV Pundit]

These numbers how do you arrive at them?
I had thought Uhuru bombshell would take Raila from 20 to 35 percent
But so far from my own hunch it done the opposite.
Ruto support in Mt Kenya has surged!
Uhuru basically appeared as joker - who was not seriously selling Raila.
He was almost engaged in reverse pyschology.

He has about 55% support in Central.
 He may end up at 60. So raila goose may be cooked. He needs kalonzo and mudavadi back to his column

[Pajero]

Anything below 60% for Ruto in central will be disastrous.

[RV Pundit]

I dont think Kioni will help Raila get more than he helped maDVD in 2013.
Why are being cheated early in the morning.
Anyway maybe OKA as third force would deny Ruto 50 percent...otherwise Raila has no hope.

Anything below 60% for Ruto in central will be disastrous.

[KenyanPlato]

I observe various Facebook groups chatter. I see little change in support for either camp. Those with ruto are from poor economic backgrounds or religious. They cannot vote for raila under any circumstances

[KenyanPlato]

Raila support is from those that loathe corruption or fear kalenjins. None of these groups will change their support

[RV Pundit]

The dillema for both groups - they also fear Luos and Odingas. They are stuck. They are probably not going to vote.

This is why Ruto wanted Raila.

When they consider - I believe majority - will come to conclusion that Ruto and Kalenjin is less evil compared Raila and Luos. Actually for many in GEMA - kalenjin are NECCESARY evil Luo and Odinga they dont see why it's urgency or necessity..they dont buy handshake..they know they had vanguished Jakom.

If 3rd option by Karua/Kalonzo was to get Uhuru backing - Ruto would be worried. They could provide the 30 percent something to vote for...otherwise for now it's btw blue corner and the deep sea

But pushing Jakom is almost campaigning for Ruto.

As for the numbers - opinion polls are showing Ruto generally at 75 - and Jakom at 25 - when all decided voters are considered.

Raila support is from those that loathe corruption or fear kalenjins. None of these groups will change their support

[RV Pundit]