Ruto has cracked kikuyu women - the rest are details. Your mother will drag you to vote christian Ruto. Yes from my interraction the older men - especially those who experience Moi time and PEV - are traumatized - but then they see Raila - and they feel totally let down - I think majority will not vote. Turn-out will be low. Many will rather wait for their fate - than willingly choose two evils from the west (ruguru?)
When it come to Embus and Merus - and Rift valley - hapo ni Ruto 100 percent. Those ones will stone Uhuru if he dares goes there. Mt kenya east feel betrayed by Uhuru - like Kalenjin - Uhuru has never stepped there - just Sagana and speaking kikuyus .
Diaspora kikuyu just dont understand how Uhuru want them killed and their life time investment burnt. They dont understand. They try to understand and they just fail to understand why he would want to undo the peace deal, endanger their future - hapo Uhuru should not even bother show his big stomach

. Lee Moi is only man left standing....everyone else has joined UDA...those kikuyus can even mass assimilate to kalenjin - if they can - hapo we need to organize large ceremony - they pay one cow - they get a clan and new name - and forever they become at peace. what Uhuru is doing to those people is beyond the pale.
Uhuru can only run his campaigns in Kiambu to Muranga - maybe Kirinyanga and Nyandarua.
Nyeri people have dim view of him - they see him as stupid homeguard mlevi from Kiambu messing Kibaki economy. If he shows up in Nyeri - he should prepare for tough time. Nyerians see themselves as brave Mau Mau..
He peaked to early. He is losing ground and his supporters are seriously fatigued. Sometimes in kenya timing is everything. You have to peak at the right time and create euphoria at the right time. He is fallen into young kikuyus hustlers game of fleecing stupid campaigns by eating their money and changing their allegiance. Ruto made his deal with hustlers but forgot that the voters that usually go to the polls are usually busy, conservative, and need retail type of mobilization. They require door to door and townhall mobilization. Azimio went this route. They went full retail and made Contacts townhall style and person to person.
Ruto willxsuffer the fate uhuru suffered in gatundu in 1997. He funded the campaigns for muhia. People just ate Uhuru's money and voted for mwihia..uhuru spent over 70 million every young person got a piece of this money