Railas Plans have always been the same.. You cant teach an old fog new tricks.
Go bavk from 99 you will realise following are Raila tactics
Join Government and Break it up run with a chunk of it and support the most popular opponent
Manufacture ans push for a referemdumn before the next elections and be in the winning team so as generate a euphoria
If not sure of winning elections claim elections have been rigged simultenously sponsoring opinion polls showing he is leading.
Refuse election results call for mass protests and in so ensure violence is metted to opponents and supporters.
If it works manufacture a conwtituional crisis and negotiate for a Nusu mkate Government.
If he knows he has no prospects of winning whatsover initiate tactics which will lead to postponment of elections thus making him invited to the table for negotiations of Nusu Mkate Government.
Now Kibaki and Uhuru are hood hearted people , people with deep rooted history with Odinga family .They closed one eye while Raila was makimg all these.sheninigans , Kibaki shared a Government with him under NARA , Uhuru invited him to government under Hamdshake.
Ruto is a different ball game all together He will crush Raila in everything untill he will subdue and I dont mean violently.
Using softpower Ruto managee to edge put Moi and Uhuru in their political bedrock next is Raila.